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基于循环注意力机制和生成对抗网络的时间序列预测和分类模型。

Time Series Forecasting and Classification Models Based on Recurrent with Attention Mechanism and Generative Adversarial Networks.

机构信息

School of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, China.

Institute of Computer Application, China Academy of Engineering Physics, Mianyang 621900, China.

出版信息

Sensors (Basel). 2020 Dec 16;20(24):7211. doi: 10.3390/s20247211.

Abstract

Time series classification and forecasting have long been studied with the traditional statistical methods. Recently, deep learning achieved remarkable successes in areas such as image, text, video, audio processing, etc. However, research studies conducted with deep neural networks in these fields are not abundant. Therefore, in this paper, we aim to propose and evaluate several state-of-the-art neural network models in these fields. We first review the basics of representative models, namely long short-term memory and its variants, the temporal convolutional network and the generative adversarial network. Then, long short-term memory with autoencoder and attention-based models, the temporal convolutional network and the generative adversarial model are proposed and applied to time series classification and forecasting. Gaussian sliding window weights are proposed to speed the training process up. Finally, the performances of the proposed methods are assessed using five optimizers and loss functions with the public benchmark datasets, and comparisons between the proposed temporal convolutional network and several classical models are conducted. Experiments show the proposed models' effectiveness and confirm that the temporal convolutional network is superior to long short-term memory models in sequence modeling. We conclude that the proposed temporal convolutional network reduces time consumption to around 80% compared to others while retaining the same accuracy. The unstable training process for generative adversarial network is circumvented by tuning hyperparameters and carefully choosing the appropriate optimizer of "Adam". The proposed generative adversarial network also achieves comparable forecasting accuracy with traditional methods.

摘要

时间序列分类和预测一直以来都使用传统的统计方法进行研究。最近,深度学习在图像、文本、视频、音频处理等领域取得了显著的成功。然而,在这些领域中,使用深度神经网络的研究还不够丰富。因此,本文旨在提出和评估这些领域的几种最先进的神经网络模型。我们首先回顾了代表性模型的基础知识,即长短期记忆及其变体、时间卷积网络和生成对抗网络。然后,提出了基于自动编码器和注意力机制的长短期记忆模型、时间卷积网络和生成对抗网络,并将它们应用于时间序列分类和预测。提出了高斯滑动窗口权重以加速训练过程。最后,使用五个优化器和损失函数在公共基准数据集上评估了所提出方法的性能,并对所提出的时间卷积网络和几个经典模型进行了比较。实验表明了所提出模型的有效性,并证实了时间卷积网络在序列建模方面优于长短期记忆模型。我们得出结论,所提出的时间卷积网络在保留相同准确性的同时,将时间消耗减少到其他方法的 80%左右。通过调整超参数和仔细选择适当的“Adam”优化器,避免了生成对抗网络不稳定的训练过程。所提出的生成对抗网络也可以与传统方法达到相当的预测精度。

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