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基于影像组学-临床列线图预测浆液性卵巢癌患者生存情况

Development of a radiomic-clinical nomogram for prediction of survival in patients with serous ovarian cancer.

机构信息

Department of Radiology, Affiliated Huadu Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.

Department of Radiology, Guangzhou First People's Hospital, School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Clin Radiol. 2022 May;77(5):352-359. doi: 10.1016/j.crad.2022.01.038. Epub 2022 Mar 6.

Abstract

AIM

To develop and validate a radiomic-clinical nomogram to evaluate overall survival (OS) postoperatively in patients with serous ovarian cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Eighty serous ovarian cancer patients from The Cancer Imaging Archive (TCIA) database were used as the training set, and 39 eligible patients treated at Affiliated Huadu Hospital were used as the independent validation set. In total, 1,301 radiomics features were extracted from ovarian cancer lesions on venous-phase computed tomography (CT) images. Then, a radiomics signature was developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression algorithm in the training set. Moreover, a radiomic-clinical nomogram was constructed incorporating the radiomics signature and clinical predictors based on a multivariable Cox regression analysis. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated.

RESULTS

Consisting of three selected features, the radiomics signature showed good discrimination in the training and validation sets with C-indexes of 0.694 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.613-0.775) and 0.709 (95% CI: 0.517-0.901), respectively. The radiomic-clinical nomogram contained the radiomics signature and four clinical predictors, including age, tumour size, pathological staging, and tumour grade. The nomogram showed favourable discrimination in the training set (C-index [95% CI], 0.754 [0.678-0.830]), which was confirmed in the validation set (C-index [95% CI], 0.727 [0.569-0.885]). According to the model, all patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that there was a significant distinction between the OS of the high-risk and low-risk patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed radiomic-clinical nomogram can increase the predictive accuracy of OS in patients with serous ovarian cancer after surgery, which may aid in clinical decision-making.

摘要

目的

开发并验证一种放射组学-临床列线图,以评估浆液性卵巢癌患者术后的总生存期(OS)。

材料与方法

从癌症影像档案(TCIA)数据库中选取 80 名浆液性卵巢癌患者作为训练集,选取在附属花都医院治疗的 39 名符合条件的患者作为独立验证集。共从卵巢癌病变的静脉期 CT 图像上提取了 1301 个放射组学特征。然后,在训练集中使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)Cox 回归算法开发放射组学特征。此外,基于多变量 Cox 回归分析,将放射组学特征和临床预测因子纳入构建放射组学-临床列线图。评估了列线图的性能。

结果

放射组学特征由三个选定的特征组成,在训练集和验证集中具有良好的区分能力,C 指数分别为 0.694(95%置信区间 [CI]:0.613-0.775)和 0.709(95% CI:0.517-0.901)。放射组学-临床列线图包含放射组学特征和 4 个临床预测因子,包括年龄、肿瘤大小、病理分期和肿瘤分级。该列线图在训练集(C 指数 [95% CI],0.754 [0.678-0.830])中表现出良好的区分能力,在验证集(C 指数 [95% CI],0.727 [0.569-0.885])中也得到了证实。根据模型,所有患者被分为高风险和低风险组。Kaplan-Meier 曲线显示,高风险和低风险患者的 OS 之间存在显著差异。

结论

所提出的放射组学-临床列线图可以提高浆液性卵巢癌患者术后 OS 的预测准确性,可能有助于临床决策。

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