Department of Government, Polarization Research Lab, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755.
Department of Political Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA94305.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Mar 22;119(12):e2116870119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2116870119. Epub 2022 Mar 18.
SignificanceRecent political events show that members of extreme political groups support partisan violence, and survey evidence supposedly shows widespread public support. We show, however, that, after accounting for survey-based measurement error, support for partisan violence is far more limited. Prior estimates overstate support for political violence because of random responding by disengaged respondents and because of a reliance on hypothetical questions about violence in general instead of questions on specific acts of political violence. These same issues also cause the magnitude of the relationship between previously identified correlates and partisan violence to be overstated. As policy makers consider interventions designed to dampen support for violence, our results provide critical information about the magnitude of the problem.
意义
最近的政治事件表明,极端政治团体的成员支持党派暴力,而调查证据据称显示出广泛的公众支持。然而,我们表明,在考虑到基于调查的测量误差后,支持党派暴力的程度要有限得多。由于不参与的受访者随机回应,以及由于依赖关于一般暴力的假设问题而不是关于具体党派暴力行为的问题,先前的估计过高估计了对政治暴力的支持。同样的问题也导致了先前确定的相关性与党派暴力之间关系的大小被过高估计。随着政策制定者考虑设计干预措施来抑制对暴力的支持,我们的结果提供了有关问题严重程度的重要信息。