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意大利 1982 年至 2016 年皮肤黑色素瘤死亡率趋势。

Trends in cutaneous melanoma mortality in Italy from 1982 to 2016.

机构信息

Dermatology Unit, University of Campania, Naples, Italy.

Epidemiology Unit, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.

出版信息

Int J Dermatol. 2022 Oct;61(10):1237-1244. doi: 10.1111/ijd.16173. Epub 2022 Apr 1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In Italy, comprehensive national studies, about mortality rates for cutaneous melanoma, are missing. The aim of this study was to analyze the trend of cutaneous melanoma mortality in Italy from 1982 to 2016.

METHODS

Data on death certificates were obtained from Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT: Istituto nazionale di STATistica, Indagine sulle cause di morte). Mortality rates were age-standardized on the European population 2013 and presented per 100,000 individuals. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AMRs) were calculated by sex, age group, and geographic areas. To identify changes in mortality rate trends, a joinpoint regression model was used, and the annual percent change (APC) was estimated.

RESULTS

In Italy, a total number of 49,312 patients (44.0% women) died for cutaneous melanoma from 1982 to 2016. Melanoma mortality rates significantly increased in the study period in both sexes, with higher AMR values and a steeper increase in men (from 2.71 to 4.02; APC: 1.43; 95% CI 1.26-1.61) than women (from 1.94-2.10; APC: 0.23; 95% CI 0.00-0.46). The largest difference between men and women was observed in patients aged ≥65 years with APC of 2.17 in men (95% CI 1.97-2.37) and 0.37 in women (95% CI 0.08-0.66).

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the melanoma mortality rate in Italy progressively increased especially in elderly men. Several hypotheses might explain the observed age and geographic differences such as sun exposure habits or different strategies of prevention campaigns.

摘要

背景

在意大利,缺乏关于皮肤黑色素瘤死亡率的全面国家研究。本研究的目的是分析 1982 年至 2016 年期间意大利皮肤黑色素瘤死亡率的趋势。

方法

从意大利国家统计局(ISTAT:Istituto nazionale di STATistica,死因调查)获得死亡证明数据。死亡率按 2013 年欧洲人口年龄标准化,并以每 10 万人为单位呈现。按性别、年龄组和地理区域计算年龄调整死亡率(AMR)。为了确定死亡率趋势变化,使用了连接点回归模型,并估计了年变化百分比(APC)。

结果

1982 年至 2016 年期间,意大利共有 49312 名(44.0%为女性)患者因皮肤黑色素瘤死亡。在研究期间,两性的黑色素瘤死亡率均显著增加,男性的 AMR 值更高,增长率更陡峭(从 2.71 增至 4.02;APC:1.43;95%CI 1.26-1.61),而女性的增长率较低(从 1.94-2.10;APC:0.23;95%CI 0.00-0.46)。男性和女性之间最大的差异发生在年龄≥65 岁的患者中,男性的 APC 为 2.17(95%CI 1.97-2.37),女性为 0.37(95%CI 0.08-0.66)。

结论

总之,意大利的黑色素瘤死亡率呈逐渐上升趋势,尤其是在老年男性中。一些假设可以解释观察到的年龄和地理差异,例如阳光暴露习惯或预防活动的不同策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/15b0/9546382/59af12094d64/IJD-61-1237-g002.jpg

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