Suppr超能文献

西班牙皮肤恶性黑色素瘤死亡率的空间聚集性和时间趋势

Spatial clusters and temporal trends of cutaneous malignant melanoma mortality in Spain.

作者信息

Cayuela Lucía, Pereyra-Rodriguez José-Juan, Hernández-Rodríguez Juan-Carlos, Cayuela Aurelio

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Severo Ochoa, Leganés, Spain.

Department of Medicine, University of Seville, Seville, Spain.

出版信息

J Int Med Res. 2025 Feb;53(2):3000605251319609. doi: 10.1177/03000605251319609.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To analyse time trends in mortality due to cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) in Spain between 1980 and 2020, and to identify possible spatial clusters of provinces with an excess risk of CMM mortality during the period 2011-2020.

METHODS

Joinpoint regression models were used to assess temporal trends in data from the Spanish National Institute of Statistics. Crude rates, standardized mortality ratio (SMR), smoothed relative risk (RR), and posterior probabilities (PP) of RR >1 during the period 2011-2020 were calculated. The Global Moran I index was used to assess global spatial autocorrelation.

RESULTS

Two time-periods were detected in women: a significant increase during 1980-1994 (annual percent change [APC], 6.5% per year) and rate stabilization during 1994-2020 (nonsignificant APC, -0.17%). A similar pattern was observed in men, with three periods comprising a significant increase during 1980-1985 (APC, 16.59%), a slowing of the increase during 1985-1998 (APC, 4.40%), and stabilization during 1998-2020 (nonsignificant APC, 0.37%). Spatial analysis showed greater spatial heterogeneity with an east-north pattern in men compared with the pattern in women, which tended to be concentrated in north-western areas.

CONCLUSION

Mortality rates associated with CMM in Spain have remained stable in recent years. There were provincial clusters that exhibited an excess risk of mortality from CMM, with different patterns according to sex.

摘要

目的

分析1980年至2020年西班牙皮肤恶性黑色素瘤(CMM)死亡率的时间趋势,并确定2011年至2020年期间CMM死亡率过高风险省份的可能空间聚集情况。

方法

采用Joinpoint回归模型评估西班牙国家统计局数据的时间趋势。计算了2011年至2020年期间的粗率、标准化死亡率比值(SMR)、平滑相对风险(RR)以及RR>1的后验概率(PP)。使用全局莫兰指数(Global Moran I index)评估全局空间自相关性。

结果

在女性中检测到两个时间段:1980年至1994年显著上升(年变化百分比[APC],每年6.5%),1994年至2020年趋于稳定(无显著APC,-0.17%)。男性中观察到类似模式,包括三个时间段,1980年至1985年显著上升(APC,16.59%),1985年至1998年上升放缓(APC,4.40%),1998年至2020年趋于稳定(无显著APC,0.37%)。空间分析显示,与女性集中在西北部地区的模式相比,男性的空间异质性更大,呈东北模式。

结论

近年来,西班牙与CMM相关的死亡率保持稳定。存在CMM死亡率过高风险的省级聚集区,且男女模式不同。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/168d/11831644/022dca83d48f/10.1177_03000605251319609-fig1.jpg

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验