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邓宁-克鲁格效应的统计学解释。

A Statistical Explanation of the Dunning-Kruger Effect.

作者信息

Magnus Jan R, Peresetsky Anatoly A

机构信息

Department of Econometrics and Data Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

Department of Applied Economics, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Higher School of Economics (HSE University), Moscow, Russia.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2022 Mar 25;13:840180. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.840180. eCollection 2022.

DOI:10.3389/fpsyg.2022.840180
PMID:35401341
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8992690/
Abstract

UNLABELLED

An explanation of the Dunning-Kruger effect is provided which does not require any psychological explanation, because it is derived as a statistical artifact. This is achieved by specifying a simple statistical model which explicitly takes the (random) boundary constraints into account. The model fits the data almost perfectly.

JEL CLASSIFICATION

A22; C24; C91; D84; D91; I21.

摘要

未标注

对邓宁-克鲁格效应给出了一种解释，该解释不需要任何心理学解释，因为它是作为一种统计假象推导出来的。这是通过指定一个简单的统计模型来实现的，该模型明确考虑了（随机）边界约束。该模型几乎完美地拟合了数据。

《经济学文献杂志》分类号：A22；C24；C91；D84；D91；I21。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/6c8d71c00247/fpsyg-13-840180-g0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/c611a4d05bc2/fpsyg-13-840180-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/02a96bae53c3/fpsyg-13-840180-g0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/bdae125209dc/fpsyg-13-840180-g0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/6c8d71c00247/fpsyg-13-840180-g0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/c611a4d05bc2/fpsyg-13-840180-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/02a96bae53c3/fpsyg-13-840180-g0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/bdae125209dc/fpsyg-13-840180-g0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/caef/8992690/6c8d71c00247/fpsyg-13-840180-g0004.jpg

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