Applied Economics Department, Universidad de Málaga, Spain.
Applied Economics Department, Universidad de Málaga, Spain.
Econ Hum Biol. 2022 Dec;47:101177. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2022.101177. Epub 2022 Aug 24.
In the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, Spain was one of the worst-hit countries, although not all areas and social groups were affected equally. This study focuses on Malaga, a cosmopolitan tourist destination located on the southern Mediterranean coast that has the sixth largest population in Spain. Specifically, it examines the relationship between multidimensional vulnerability and COVID-19 infection rates across the city's census tracts for the period February 2020 to February 2021. The analysis uses high frequency (daily) data on the accumulated incidence of the disease at 14 days and shows that COVID-19 did not spread symmetrically across the census tracts of Malaga but had a greater impact on the most vulnerable neighbourhoods. However, the pattern of this relationship was not uniform in the period examined, with specific contextual factors driving the higher infection rates across time. Our findings show that pandemic containment regulations cannot overlook vulnerability considerations and universal restrictions to reduce the spread of disease should be supplemented by targeted regulations for specific areas.
在 COVID-19 大流行的第一年，西班牙是受影响最严重的国家之一，尽管并非所有地区和社会群体都受到同等影响。本研究以马拉加（Malaga）为重点，马拉加是位于地中海南部海岸的国际化旅游目的地，拥有西班牙第六大人口。具体而言，本研究考察了 2020 年 2 月至 2021 年 2 月期间该市普查区多维脆弱性与 COVID-19 感染率之间的关系。该分析使用了疾病 14 天累计发病率的高频（每日）数据，结果表明 COVID-19 在马拉加的普查区并非呈对称传播，而是对最脆弱的街区产生了更大的影响。然而，在研究期间，这种关系的模式并不统一，特定的背景因素导致了随着时间的推移感染率的上升。我们的研究结果表明，大流行遏制法规不能忽视脆弱性因素，减少疾病传播的普遍限制应辅以针对特定地区的有针对性的法规。
