美国州政策环境与工作年龄成年人死亡率。
U.S. state policy contexts and mortality of working-age adults.
机构信息
Department of Sociology, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States of America.
Aging Studies Institute, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States of America.
出版信息
PLoS One. 2022 Oct 26;17(10):e0275466. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0275466. eCollection 2022.
The rise in working-age mortality rates in the United States in recent decades largely reflects stalled declines in cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality alongside rising mortality from alcohol-induced causes, suicide, and drug poisoning; and it has been especially severe in some U.S. states. Building on recent work, this study examined whether U.S. state policy contexts may be a central explanation. We modeled the associations between working-age mortality rates and state policies during 1999 to 2019. We used annual data from the 1999-2019 National Vital Statistics System to calculate state-level age-adjusted mortality rates for deaths from all causes and from CVD, alcohol-induced causes, suicide, and drug poisoning among adults ages 25-64 years. We merged that data with annual state-level data on eight policy domains, such as labor and taxes, where each domain was scored on a 0-1 conservative-to-liberal continuum. Results show that the policy domains were associated with working-age mortality. More conservative marijuana policies and more liberal policies on the environment, gun safety, labor, economic taxes, and tobacco taxes in a state were associated with lower mortality in that state. Especially strong associations were observed between certain domains and specific causes of death: between the gun safety domain and suicide mortality among men, between the labor domain and alcohol-induced mortality, and between both the economic tax and tobacco tax domains and CVD mortality. Simulations indicate that changing all policy domains in all states to a fully liberal orientation might have saved 171,030 lives in 2019, while changing them to a fully conservative orientation might have cost 217,635 lives.
近年来,美国工作年龄人群死亡率的上升在很大程度上反映了心血管疾病 (CVD) 死亡率的下降停滞,同时酒精相关原因、自杀和药物中毒导致的死亡率上升;而且这种情况在美国的一些州尤为严重。本研究基于最近的研究,探讨了美国州政策环境是否是一个核心解释因素。我们构建了工作年龄死亡率与 1999 年至 2019 年期间各州政策之间的关联模型。我们使用了 1999 年至 2019 年全国生命统计系统的年度数据,计算了各州 25-64 岁成年人所有原因、CVD、酒精相关原因、自杀和药物中毒导致的死亡率,这些死亡率经过了年龄调整。我们将这些数据与每年关于八个政策领域的州一级数据进行了合并,例如劳动和税收,每个领域都按照从保守到自由的 0-1 连续体进行评分。结果表明,政策领域与工作年龄人群的死亡率有关。一个州的大麻政策越保守、环境、枪支安全、劳动、经济税收和烟草税收政策越自由,该州的死亡率就越低。在某些特定领域和特定死因之间观察到了特别强烈的关联:枪支安全领域与男性自杀死亡率之间,劳动领域与酒精相关死亡率之间,以及经济税收和烟草税收领域与 CVD 死亡率之间。模拟表明,将所有州的所有政策领域都改为完全自由的方向,可能会在 2019 年挽救 171030 条生命,而将它们改为完全保守的方向可能会导致 217635 人死亡。