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COVID-19 下的恐慌性购买和劳动力模型。

A Model of Panic Buying and Workforce under COVID-19.

机构信息

Economics and Management School, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Dec 15;19(24):16891. doi: 10.3390/ijerph192416891.

Abstract

Allowing there to be an undersupply of medical resources and infection amid the social workforce, this paper proposes a theory to show how panic buying is induced and how bad the workforce status could be. By developing a novel general equilibrium model, we find that for any retail price that is higher than the buyer's reserve value, the buying competition will be induced and the medical resources supply will further be tightened. Moreover, if the transmission rate of COVID-19 surpasses the theoretical threshold that is proposed by this paper, the whole workforce in our simulated economy will inevitably be infected.

摘要

在社会劳动力中存在医疗资源和感染的供应不足的情况下,本文提出了一种理论,以展示恐慌性购买是如何被诱发的,以及劳动力状况会变得多么糟糕。通过开发一个新的一般均衡模型,我们发现,对于任何高于买家保留价值的零售价格,都会诱发购买竞争,医疗资源供应将进一步收紧。此外,如果 COVID-19 的传播速度超过本文提出的理论阈值,我们模拟经济中的整个劳动力将不可避免地被感染。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3e6a/9779136/cdd6808e797e/ijerph-19-16891-g001.jpg

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