Jona Lasinio Giovanna, Divino Fabio, Lovison Gianfranco, Mingione Marco, Alaimo Di Loro Pierfrancesco, Farcomeni Alessio, Maruotti Antonello
Department of Statistical Sciences "La Sapienza" University of Rome Rome Italy.
Department of Bio-Sciences University of Molise Italy.
Environmetrics. 2022 Dec;33(8):e2768. doi: 10.1002/env.2768. Epub 2022 Oct 4.
The amount and poor quality of available data and the need of appropriate modeling of the main epidemic indicators require specific skills. In this context, the statistician plays a key role in the process that leads to policy decisions, starting with monitoring changes and evaluating risks. The "what" and the "why" of these changes represent fundamental research questions to provide timely and effective tools to manage the evolution of the epidemic. Answers to such questions need appropriate statistical models and visualization tools. Here, we give an overview of the role played by Statgroup-19, an independent Italian research group born in March 2020. The group includes seven statisticians from different Italian universities, each with different backgrounds but with a shared interest in data analysis, statistical modeling, and biostatistics. Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic the group has interacted with authorities and journalists to support policy decisions and inform the general public about the evolution of the epidemic. This collaboration led to several scientific papers and an accrued visibility across various media, all made possible by the continuous interaction across the group members that shared their unique expertise.
现有数据的数量和质量欠佳,以及对主要疫情指标进行适当建模的需求,都需要特定的技能。在这种情况下,统计学家在通向政策决策的过程中发挥着关键作用,这一过程始于监测变化和评估风险。这些变化的“是什么”和“为什么”是基础研究问题,目的是提供及时有效的工具来管理疫情的演变。回答此类问题需要适当的统计模型和可视化工具。在此,我们概述Statgroup-19所发挥的作用,这是一个2020年3月成立的意大利独立研究小组。该小组包括来自意大利不同大学的七名统计学家,他们各自背景不同,但都对数据分析、统计建模和生物统计学有着共同兴趣。自新冠疫情开始以来,该小组一直与当局和记者互动,以支持政策决策并向公众通报疫情的演变情况。这种合作产生了多篇科学论文,并在各种媒体上获得了更高的知名度,这一切都得益于小组成员之间持续的互动,他们分享了各自独特的专业知识。