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基于 SEER 数据库的 I-III 期结肠癌术后患者的临床特征和预后分析。

Clinical characteristics and prognosis analysis of postoperative patients with stage I-III colon cancer based on SEER database.

机构信息

Department of Oncology Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Qiqihaer Medical University, No. 37 Zhonghuaxi Road, Jianhua District, Qiqihar, 161006, Heilongjiang, China.

Department of Pharmacy Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Qiqihaer Medical University, Qiqihar, China.

出版信息

Clin Transl Oncol. 2024 Jan;26(1):225-230. doi: 10.1007/s12094-023-03239-w. Epub 2023 Jul 1.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To identify the relevant factors affecting the prognosis and survival time of colon cancer and construct a survival prediction model.

METHODS

Data on postoperative stage I-III colon cancer patients were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. We used R project to analyze the data. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed for independent factors correlated with overall survival from colon cancer. The C-index was used to screen the factors that had the greatest influence in overall survival after surgery in colon cancer patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was made according to the Risk score and calculated to validate the predictive accuracy of the model. In addition, we used decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the clinical benefits and utility of the nomogram. We created a model survival curve to determine the difference in prognosis between patients in the low-risk group and those in the high-risk group.

RESULTS

Univariate and multifactor COX analyses showed that the race, Grade, tumor size, N-stage and T-stage were independent risk factors affecting survival time of patients. The analysis of ROC and DCA showed the nomogram prediction model constructed based on the above indicators has good predictive effects.

CONCLUSION

Overall, the nomogram constructed in this study has good predictive effects. It can provide a reference for future clinicians to evaluate the prognosis of colon cancer patients.

摘要

目的

确定影响结肠癌预后和生存时间的相关因素,并构建生存预测模型。

方法

从监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库中获取术后 I-III 期结肠癌患者的数据。我们使用 R 项目对数据进行分析。对与结肠癌总生存相关的独立因素进行单因素和多因素 Cox 回归分析。C 指数用于筛选术后结肠癌患者总生存中影响最大的因素。根据风险评分制作并计算接收者操作特征(ROC)曲线,以验证模型的预测准确性。此外,我们使用决策曲线分析(DCA)评估列线图的临床获益和实用性。我们创建了一个模型生存曲线,以确定低风险组和高风险组患者之间的预后差异。

结果

单因素和多因素 COX 分析表明,种族、分级、肿瘤大小、N 期和 T 期是影响患者生存时间的独立危险因素。ROC 和 DCA 的分析表明,基于上述指标构建的列线图预测模型具有良好的预测效果。

结论

总体而言,本研究构建的列线图具有良好的预测效果。它可以为未来的临床医生评估结肠癌患者的预后提供参考。

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