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老年营养风险指数对老年高血压人群全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的预测作用:美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)1999 - 2016年数据

Geriatric nutrition risk index in the prediction of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in elderly hypertensive population: NHANES 1999-2016.

作者信息

Huo Xuan, Wu Meiyin, Gao Dongmei, Zhou YueShengzi, Han Xu, Lai Weilin, Wang Mengqi, Hang Yilun

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Zhejiang Medical and Health Group Hangzhou Hospital, Zhejiang, China.

Department of Endocrinology, The First People's Hospital of Yuhang District, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Cardiovasc Med. 2023 Jul 3;10:1203130. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2023.1203130. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Hypertension is a major risk factor for the global burden of disease, and nutrition is associated with an increased risk of mortality from multiple diseases. Few studies have explored the association of nutritional risk with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in hypertension, and our study aims to fill this knowledge gap.

METHOD

We included data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2016 on a total of 10,037 elderly patients with hypertension. The nutritional status was evaluated using the Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index (GNRI). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to analyze the survival rates of different nutritional risk groups. COX proportional risk regression models were used to analyze the predictive effect of GNRI on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in hypertensive patients. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to explore the nonlinear relationship between GNRI and mortality.

RESULT

The mean age of the hypertensive patients was 70.7 years. A total of 4255 (42.3%) all-cause mortality and 1207 (17.2%) cardiovascular mortality occurred during a median follow-up period of 106 months. Kaplan-Meier showed a more significant reduction in survival for the moderate to severe malnutrition risk of GNRI. The adjusted COX proportional hazards model showed that the hazard ratios for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the moderate to severe malnutrition risk group for GNRI were 2.112 (95% CI, 1.377,3.240) and 2.604 (95% CI, 1.603,4.229), respectively. The RCS showed that increased GNRI was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality risk reduction.

CONCLUSION

Malnutrition exposure assessed by GNRI effectively predicts the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the elderly with hypertension.

摘要

背景

高血压是全球疾病负担的主要危险因素,营养与多种疾病的死亡风险增加有关。很少有研究探讨营养风险与高血压患者全因死亡率和心血管死亡率之间的关联,而我们的研究旨在填补这一知识空白。

方法

我们纳入了1999年至2016年美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)中总共10,037名老年高血压患者的数据。使用老年营养风险指数(GNRI)评估营养状况。采用Kaplan-Meier生存分析来分析不同营养风险组的生存率。使用COX比例风险回归模型分析GNRI对高血压患者全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的预测作用。采用受限立方样条(RCS)来探索GNRI与死亡率之间的非线性关系。

结果

高血压患者的平均年龄为70.7岁。在中位随访期106个月期间,共发生4255例(42.3%)全因死亡和1207例(17.2%)心血管死亡。Kaplan-Meier分析显示,GNRI中度至重度营养不良风险组的生存率下降更为显著。调整后的COX比例风险模型显示,GNRI中度至重度营养不良风险组的全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的风险比分别为2.112(95%CI,1.377,3.240)和2.604(95%CI,1.603,4.229)。RCS分析显示,GNRI升高与全因死亡率风险降低和心血管死亡率风险降低相关。

结论

通过GNRI评估的营养不良暴露可有效预测老年高血压患者的全因死亡率和心血管死亡率风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8783/10350498/a3ae25aac104/fcvm-10-1203130-g001.jpg

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