Morchón Rodrigo, Rodríguez-Escolar Iván, Lambraño Ricardo E Hernández, Agudo José Ángel Sánchez, Montoya-Alonso José Alberto, Serafín-Pérez Irene, Fernández-Serafín Carolina, Carretón Elena
Zoonotic Diseases and One Health GIR, Biomedical Research Institute of Salamanca-Research Center for Tropical Diseases University of Salamanca (IBSAL-CIETUS), Faculty of Pharmacy, Campus Miguel Unamuno, University of Salamanca, 37007 Salamanca, Spain.
Internal Medicine, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Research Institute of Biomedical and Health Sciences, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35001 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain.
Animals (Basel). 2023 Oct 18;13(20):3251. doi: 10.3390/ani13203251.
Heartworm disease is a vector-borne zoonotic disease caused by . The Canary Islands (Spain), geolocated close to the coast of Western Sahara, is an archipelago considered hyperendemic where the average prevalence in domestic dogs is high, heterogeneous, and non-uniform. In addition, has been reported as a vector of the disease on two of the most populated islands. Our aim was to develop a more accurate transmission risk model for dirofilariosis for the Canary Islands. For this purpose, we used different variables related to parasite transmission; the potential distribution of suitable habitats for spp. was calculated using the ecological niche model (ENM) and the potential number of generations of . The resulting model was validated with the geolocation of -infected dogs from all islands. In addition, the impact of possible future climatic conditions was estimated. There is a risk of transmission on all islands, being high in coastal areas, moderate in midland areas, and minimal in higher altitude areas. Most of the dogs infected with were geolocated in areas with a high risk of transmission. In 2080, the percentage of territory that will have been gained by spp. is small (5.02%), although it will occur toward the midlands from coastal areas. This new model provides a high predictive power for the study of cardiopulmonary dirofilariosis in the Canary Islands, as a hyperendemic area of the disease, and can be used as a tool for its prevention and control.
心丝虫病是一种由……引起的媒介传播人畜共患病。加那利群岛（西班牙）位于西撒哈拉海岸附近，是一个被认为是高度流行的群岛，家犬的平均患病率很高，且分布不均、参差不齐。此外，在其中两个人口最多的岛屿上，……已被报告为该疾病的传播媒介。我们的目标是为加那利群岛开发一个更准确的心丝虫病传播风险模型。为此，我们使用了与寄生虫传播相关的不同变量；利用生态位模型（ENM）计算了适合……物种生存的栖息地的潜在分布以及……的潜在代数。所得模型通过所有岛屿上感染……的犬只的地理位置进行了验证。此外，还估计了未来可能的气候条件的影响。所有岛屿都存在传播风险，沿海地区风险高，中部地区风险中等，高海拔地区风险最小。大多数感染……的犬只位于传播风险高的地区。到2080年，……物种将获得的领土百分比很小（5.02%），尽管这将从沿海地区向中部地区发展。这个新模型为加那利群岛作为该疾病的高度流行地区的心肺丝虫病研究提供了很高的预测能力，并且可以用作其预防和控制的工具。 （注：原文中部分关键信息缺失，用“……”表示）
