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2019 年全球、地区和国家归因于烟草的乳腺癌疾病负担:一项全球疾病负担研究。

The global, regional, and national disease burden of breast cancer attributable to tobacco from 1990 to 2019: a global burden of disease study.

机构信息

Department of Medical Oncology, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.

Department of Cardiology, The First People's Hospital of Xiaoshan District, Xiaoshan Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2024 Jan 6;24(1):107. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-17405-w.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Tobacco has been identified as a significant contributory element to the development of breast cancer. Our objective was to evaluate the spatiotemporal trends of tobacco-related breast cancer at the global, regional, and national scales during 1990-2019.

METHODS

We extracted data on mortality, disability adjusted of life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was computed to assess the temporal change in ASDR and ASMR.

RESULTS

In 2019, the deaths and DALYs attributed to tobacco-related breast cancer were estimated to be 35,439 (95% UI: 22,179-48,119) and 1,060,590 (95% UI: 622,550-1,462,580), respectively. These figures accounted for 5.1% and 5.2% of the total burden of breast cancer. ASMR and ASDR increased in low SDI regions, remained stable in low-middle and middle SDI regions and declined in high and high-middle SDI regions. The burden of breast cancer attributable to tobacco varied notably among regions and nations. Oceania, Southern Latin America, and Central Europe were the GBD regions with the highest number of ASMR and DALYs. There was a positive relationship between age-standardized rate and SDI value in 2019 across 204 nations or territories. A negative association was observed between the EAPC in ASMR or ASDR and the human development index (HDI) in 2019 (R = -0.55, p < 0.01 for ASMR; R = -0.56, p < 0.01 for ASDR).

CONCLUSION

Tobacco is one important and modifiable risk factor for breast cancer. The heterogeneity in both the spatial and temporal distribution can be attributed to factors such as aging, population growth, and SDI. These findings substantiate the necessity of expediting the enforcement of tobacco-free legislation in order to safeguard populations from the detrimental effects of tobacco.

摘要

目的

烟草已被确定为乳腺癌发展的一个重要促成因素。我们的目标是评估 1990 年至 2019 年期间全球、区域和国家层面与烟草相关的乳腺癌的时空趋势。

方法

我们从 2019 年全球疾病负担研究中提取了死亡率、残疾调整生命年(DALYs)、年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和年龄标准化 DALYs 率(ASDR)的数据。计算了估计的年平均变化百分比(EAPC),以评估 ASDR 和 ASMR 的时间变化。

结果

2019 年,归因于与烟草相关的乳腺癌的死亡人数和 DALYs 估计分别为 35439 人(95%UI:22179-48119)和 1060590 人(95%UI:622550-1462580)。这些数字占乳腺癌总负担的 5.1%和 5.2%。ASMR 和 ASDR 在低 SD 地区上升,在中低和中 SD 地区保持稳定,在高和高 SD 地区下降。乳腺癌的负担因地区和国家而异。大洋洲、南美洲南部和中欧是 ASMR 和 DALYs 数量最多的全球疾病负担区域。204 个国家或地区 2019 年年龄标准化率与 SD 值呈正相关。ASMR 或 ASDR 的 EAPC 与 2019 年人类发展指数(HDI)呈负相关(ASMR 为 R=-0.55,p<0.01;ASDR 为 R=-0.56,p<0.01)。

结论

烟草是乳腺癌的一个重要且可改变的危险因素。时空分布的异质性可归因于老龄化、人口增长和 SD 等因素。这些发现证实了加快实施无烟立法以保护民众免受烟草危害的必要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9a3d/10770986/c4ad0029694e/12889_2023_17405_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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