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调低恒温器温度——对克服欧洲天然气危机有帮助吗?以德国为例。

Turn down your thermostats - A contribution to overcoming the European gas crisis? The example of Germany.

作者信息

Sperber Evelyn, Frey Ulrich, Bertsch Valentin

机构信息

German Aerospace Center (DLR), Institute of Networked Energy Systems, Curiestr. 4, 70563, Stuttgart, Germany.

Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Chair of Energy Systems and Energy Economics, Universitätsstr. 150, 44801, Bochum, Germany.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Jan 10;10(2):e23974. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e23974. eCollection 2024 Jan 30.

Abstract

Europe's current gas crisis requires rapid government intervention to curtail natural gas consumption and mitigate expenses for consumers. This study aims to comprehensively assess the impact of adjusting thermostats, with single-family houses in Germany serving as a case study. A unique bottom-up approach for approximating gas consumption at the level of building archetypes reveals that decreasing temperature setpoints from 21 °C to 19 °C and 17 °C can save about 14 and 30 TWh/a of gas, respectively. This corresponds to 3-6 % of gas imports from Russia to Germany in 2020. The largest absolute savings can be realized in older and larger buildings. Additionally, our findings suggest that the adjustment of thermostats may decrease residential CO emissions by 3-6 Mt/a, achieved through a reduction of 2-4 °C in the setpoint. Therefore, the measure shows great promise regardless of the present crisis. From the consumer's perspective, a 1 °C temperature reduction can lead to a gas bill reduction of 4-9 %, contingent upon building type. Nevertheless, the cost burden associated with rising gas prices surpasses these savings. Residents of older buildings suffer more severe financial impacts than those in newer ones. Our research suggests that policymakers should consider implementing adjustments to residential thermostats. Furthermore, consumer financial assistance programs should factor in building type when designing relief mechanisms.

摘要

欧洲当前的天然气危机需要政府迅速干预,以减少天然气消耗并减轻消费者的费用负担。本研究旨在全面评估调节恒温器的影响,以德国的独栋房屋为例进行研究。一种独特的自下而上的方法,用于在建筑原型层面估算天然气消耗量,结果显示,将温度设定点从21°C降至19°C和17°C,分别可节省约14太瓦时/年和30太瓦时/年的天然气。这相当于2020年德国从俄罗斯进口天然气量的3%至6%。在 older和 larger的建筑中可实现最大的绝对节气量。此外,我们的研究结果表明,通过将设定点降低2至4°C,调节恒温器可使住宅二氧化碳排放量每年减少300万至600万吨。因此,无论当前危机如何,该措施都显示出巨大的前景。从消费者的角度来看,根据建筑类型的不同,温度每降低1°C可使燃气账单减少4%至9%。然而,天然气价格上涨带来的成本负担超过了这些节省。 older建筑的居民比 newer建筑的居民遭受更严重的经济影响。我们的研究表明,政策制定者应考虑对住宅恒温器进行调整。此外,消费者财政援助计划在设计救济机制时应考虑建筑类型。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce19/10827465/e05d2a73526b/gr1.jpg

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