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滞后施肥引起的碳排放对小麦产量的影响。

The impact of carbon emissions from lag fertilization on wheat production.

机构信息

Business School of Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, P.R China.

School of Economics, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, P.R China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Mar 21;19(3):e0299299. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299299. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

This study examines the influence of lag fertilization techniques on Pakistani wheat production, highlighting the need to understand and mitigate the environmental impacts of farming methods. The basic purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of CO2 emission from fertilization and other factors on wheat production in Pakistan, using a time series of data from 1990 to 2020. CO2 emission from fertilization (CO2EF) is estimated using the default values provided by the IPCC guidelines. The ARDL approach analyses the short-run and long-run effects of CO2EF, technology level, energy use, agricultural land, and agricultural labor on wheat production. The results show that all factors have significantly impacted wheat production in Pakistan at levels of 1% and 5% significance, both in the short and long run. These findings suggest that reducing CO2EF, technology level, energy use, agricultural land, and agricultural labor on wheat production can help to increase wheat production in Pakistan. The study also highlights the importance of adopting sustainable and efficient fertilization practices, exploring alternative fertilizers, and using crop rotation systems to mitigate the adverse effects of carbon emissions from nitrogen fertilization, energy use, and the use of technology. These measures can contribute to a more sustainable and climate-resilient agriculture sector in Pakistan.

摘要

本研究考察了滞后施肥技术对巴基斯坦小麦生产的影响,强调了理解和减轻农业方法对环境影响的必要性。本研究的基本目的是调查施肥和其他因素导致的 CO2 排放对巴基斯坦小麦生产的影响,使用了 1990 年至 2020 年的时间序列数据。使用 IPCC 指南提供的默认值估算施肥的 CO2 排放(CO2EF)。ARDL 方法分析了 CO2EF、技术水平、能源利用、农业用地和农业劳动力对小麦生产的短期和长期影响。结果表明,所有因素都在 1%和 5%的显著水平上对巴基斯坦的小麦生产产生了显著影响,无论是短期还是长期。这些发现表明,减少 CO2EF、技术水平、能源利用、农业用地和农业劳动力对小麦生产的影响,可以有助于增加巴基斯坦的小麦产量。该研究还强调了采用可持续和高效施肥实践、探索替代肥料以及使用轮作系统来减轻氮施肥、能源利用和技术使用导致的碳排放的不利影响的重要性。这些措施可以促进巴基斯坦农业部门更加可持续和适应气候变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/87cb/10956835/e2e1622a156b/pone.0299299.g001.jpg

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