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新冠疫情对喀麦隆就业的影响:一般均衡分析

The impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic on employment in Cameroon: A general equilibrium analysis.

作者信息

Madai Boukar Ali, Mbock Olivier, Kilolo Jean-Marc Malambwe

机构信息

ILO, Central Africa Office, Employment and Development Yaounde Cameroon.

MINEPAT, Cellule de la Prospective Économique Yaounde Cameroon.

出版信息

Afr Dev Rev. 2021 Apr;33(Suppl 1):S88-S101. doi: 10.1111/1467-8268.12512. Epub 2021 Mar 8.

Abstract

This paper presents a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model that assesses the impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic on different economic sectors in Cameroon. A special feature of the CGE model used in this study is that it accounts for the importance of the informal sector in Cameroon. Indeed, more than 80% of the employed work in the informal sector, which is characterized by the precariousness and instability of income and employment over time and space. Simulation results suggest that economic sectors such as construction, education, hotels and restaurants and commerce should receive special attention, as they have experienced the most severe employments losses. This calls for a differentiated support from the government to protect employment in these industries.

摘要

本文提出了一个可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型,用于评估新冠疫情对喀麦隆不同经济部门的影响。本研究中使用的CGE模型的一个特殊之处在于,它考虑到了喀麦隆非正规部门的重要性。事实上,超过80%的就业人员在非正规部门工作,该部门的特点是收入和就业在时间和空间上不稳定且不可持续。模拟结果表明,建筑、教育、酒店餐饮和商业等经济部门应受到特别关注,因为它们遭受的就业损失最为严重。这就要求政府提供差异化支持,以保护这些行业的就业。

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本文引用的文献

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The adverse impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the labor market in Cameroon.
Afr Dev Rev. 2021 Apr;33(Suppl 1):S31-S44. doi: 10.1111/1467-8268.12508. Epub 2021 Mar 2.

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