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采用增产措施满足撒哈拉以南非洲地区对玉米的需求,而不扩大耕地面积。

Adopting yield-improving practices to meet maize demand in Sub-Saharan Africa without cropland expansion.

机构信息

Department of Agronomy and Horticulture, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, USA.

Instituto de Innovación para la Producción Agropecuaria y el Desarrollo Sostenible (IPADS) Balcarce (INTA-CONICET), Balcarce, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2024 May 27;15(1):4492. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-48859-0.

Abstract

Maize demand in Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to increase 2.3 times during the next 30 years driven by demographic and dietary changes. Over the past two decades, the area cropped with maize has expanded by 17 million hectares in the region, with limited yield increase. Following this trend could potentially result in further maize cropland expansion and the need for imports to satisfy domestic demand. Here, we use data collected from 14,773 smallholder fields in the region to identify agronomic practices that can improve farm yield gains. We find that agronomic practices related to cultivar selection, and nutrient, pest, and crop management can double on-farm yields and provide an additional 82 million tons of maize within current cropped area. Research and development investments should be oriented towards agricultural practices with proven capacity to raise maize yields in the region.

摘要

未来 30 年,由于人口结构和饮食结构的变化,撒哈拉以南非洲地区对玉米的需求预计将增长 2.3 倍。在过去的二十年中,该地区种植玉米的面积增加了 1700 万公顷,但产量增长有限。如果继续保持这种趋势,可能会导致玉米种植面积进一步扩大,并需要进口来满足国内需求。在这里,我们利用该地区 14773 个小农户田地收集的数据,确定了可以提高农场产量的农业实践。我们发现,与品种选择以及养分、病虫害和作物管理相关的农业实践可以使农场产量翻一番,并在现有种植面积内额外增加 8200 万吨玉米。研究和开发投资应该针对具有在该地区提高玉米产量的经证实能力的农业实践。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bdef/11130130/29d36e1ce7bc/41467_2024_48859_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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