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共享单车能否缓解交通拥堵?来自中国三个特大城市的证据。

Does bike-sharing reduce traffic congestion? Evidence from three mega-cities in China.

机构信息

School of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Aug 20;19(8):e0306317. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0306317. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

This study employs a regression discontinuity design to systematically examine the governance effect of bike-sharing on urban traffic congestion, utilizing city-level data from Beijing, Shanghai, and Wuhan in China between 2016 and 2018. We discover that the introduction of bike-sharing services significantly mitigates traffic congestion in the short term. Our heterogeneity analysis reveals that the initial deployment of shared bicycles primarily alleviates urban congestion, while additional deployments have a limited impact. Further, mechanism test analysis demonstrates that bike-sharing leads to increased metro ridership in these cities, effectively explaining the reduction in road congestion. This study underscores the pivotal role of bike-sharing services in easing urban traffic congestion and provides vital policy insights for enhancing traffic management strategies in Chinese cities.

摘要

本研究采用回归间断设计,系统地考察了共享单车对城市交通拥堵的治理效应,利用了 2016 年至 2018 年北京、上海和武汉的城市层面数据。我们发现,共享单车的引入在短期内显著缓解了交通拥堵。我们的异质性分析表明,共享单车的初始部署主要缓解了城市拥堵,而进一步的部署影响有限。此外,机制测试分析表明,共享单车导致这些城市的地铁客流量增加,有效解释了道路拥堵的减少。本研究强调了共享单车服务在缓解城市交通拥堵方面的关键作用,并为中国城市加强交通管理策略提供了重要的政策见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7659/11335155/a2e68c84e64a/pone.0306317.g001.jpg

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