Predicting Pathological Characteristics of HER2-Positive Breast Cancer from Ultrasound Images: a Deep Ensemble Approach.

The objective is to evaluate the feasibility of utilizing ultrasound images in identifying critical prognostic biomarkers for HER2-positive breast cancer (HER2 + BC). This study enrolled 512 female patients diagnosed with HER2-positive breast cancer through pathological validation at our institution from January 2016 to December 2021. Five distinct deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) and a deep ensemble (DE) approach were trained to classify axillary lymph node involvement (ALNM), lymphovascular invasion (LVI), and histological grade (HG). The efficacy of the models was evaluated based on accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, areas under the ROC curve (AUCs), and heat maps. DeLong test was applied to compare differences in AUC among different models. The deep ensemble approach, as the most effective model, demonstrated AUCs and accuracy of 0.869 (95% CI: 0.802-0.936) and 69.7% in LVI, 0.973 (95% CI: 0.949-0.998) and 73.8% in HG, thus providing superior classification performance in the context of imbalanced data (p < 0.05 by the DeLong test). On ALNM, AUC and accuracy were 0.780 (95% CI: 0.688-0.873) and 77.5%, which were comparable to other single models. The pretreatment US-based DE model could hold promise as a clinical guidance for predicting pathological characteristics of patients with HER2-positive breast cancer, thereby providing benefit of facilitating timely adjustments in treatment strategies.