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加利福尼亚州新冠疫情头六个月期间人类流动模式的地理差异

Geographic Variations in Human Mobility Patterns during the First Six Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic in California.

作者信息

Li Kenan, Eckel Sandrah P, Garcia Erika, Chen Zhanghua, Wilson John P, Gilliland Frank D

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO 63104, USA.

Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA.

出版信息

Appl Sci (Basel). 2023 Feb;13(4). doi: 10.3390/app13042440. Epub 2023 Feb 14.

Abstract

Human mobility influenced the spread of the COVID-19 virus, as revealed by the high spatiotemporal granularity location service data gathered from smart devices. We conducted time series clustering analysis to delineate the relationships between human mobility patterns (HMPs) and their social determinants in California (CA) using aggregated smart device tracking data from SafeGraph. We first identified four types of temporal patterns for five human mobility indicator changes by applying dynamic-time-warping self-organizing map clustering methods. We then performed an analysis of variance and linear discriminant analysis on the HMPs with 17 social, economic, and demographic variables. Asians, children under five, adults over 65, and individuals living below the poverty line were found to be among the top contributors to the HMPs, including the HMP with a significant increase in the median home dwelling time and the HMP with emerging weekly patterns in full-time and part-time work devices. Our findings show that the CA shelter-in-place policy had varying impacts on HMPs, with socially disadvantaged places showing less compliance. The HMPs may help practitioners to anticipate the efficacy of non-pharmaceutical interventions on cases and deaths in pandemics.

摘要

从智能设备收集的高时空粒度定位服务数据显示,人类流动影响了新冠病毒的传播。我们利用来自SafeGraph的聚合智能设备跟踪数据,进行了时间序列聚类分析,以描绘加利福尼亚州(CA)人类流动模式(HMPs)与其社会决定因素之间的关系。我们首先通过应用动态时间规整自组织映射聚类方法,确定了五个人类流动指标变化的四种时间模式。然后,我们对具有17个社会、经济和人口变量的HMPs进行了方差分析和线性判别分析。结果发现,亚洲人、五岁以下儿童、65岁以上成年人以及生活在贫困线以下的个人是HMPs的主要贡献者,包括家庭居住时间中位数显著增加的HMPs以及全职和兼职工作设备中出现每周模式的HMPs。我们的研究结果表明,加州的就地避难政策对HMPs有不同的影响,社会弱势地区的遵守情况较差。HMPs可能有助于从业者预测大流行期间非药物干预措施对病例和死亡的效果。

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