Douglas D B, Douglas R B, Oakes D, Scott G
Br J Ind Med. 1985 Jan;42(1):55-8. doi: 10.1136/oem.42.1.55.
In a longitudinal study of a sample of firemen in London 1006 firemen were interviewed and examined in 1976 and 895 were seen a second time 12 months later. On each occasion a Medical Research Council respiratory questionnaire was administered and forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were measured. The average levels of FEV1, FVC, and FEV1/FVC in both years compared favourably with conventional predicted values. Separate multiple regression analysis for the two years indicated that the FEV1 and FVC fell more rapidly in those aged over 40, and that cigarette smoking had a strong harmful effect on these measures of function. Only among men with over 20 years' service was there possibly any evidence (not statistically significant) of an effect from duration of employment. The comparatively large fall in FEV1 and FVC from 1976 to 1977 was due mainly to instrumental variation. The prevalence of respiratory symptoms was higher in smokers than non-smokers and increased with the number of cigarettes smoked.
在一项针对伦敦消防员样本的纵向研究中,1976年对1006名消防员进行了访谈和检查,12个月后再次对895名消防员进行了观察。每次都发放了医学研究委员会呼吸问卷,并测量了一秒用力呼气量(FEV1)和用力肺活量(FVC)。这两年中FEV1、FVC和FEV1/FVC的平均水平与传统预测值相比情况良好。对这两年分别进行的多元回归分析表明,40岁以上人群的FEV1和FVC下降得更快,并且吸烟对这些功能指标有很强的有害影响。只有在工作超过20年的男性中,可能有任何证据(无统计学意义)表明工作年限有影响。1976年至1977年FEV1和FVC相对较大的下降主要是由于仪器差异。吸烟者的呼吸道症状患病率高于非吸烟者,并且随着吸烟量的增加而上升。