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一种基于凝聚力、热情和心理韧性来预测运动员参与度的机器学习模型。

A machine learning model the prediction of athlete engagement based on cohesion, passion and mental toughness.

作者信息

Zhang Xin, Lin Zhikang, Gu Song

机构信息

College of Physical Education and Health Sciences, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua, 321004, China.

Faculty of Information Science and Technology, Zhongkai University of Agriculture and Engineering, Guangzhou, 510225, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 25;15(1):3220. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-87794-y.

Abstract

Athlete engagement is influenced by several factors, including cohesion, passion and mental toughness. Machine learning methods are frequently employed to construct predictive models as a result of their high efficiency. In order to comprehend the effects of cohesion, passion and mental toughness on athlete engagement, this study utilizes the relevant methods of machine learning to construct a prediction model, so as to find the intrinsic connection between them. The construction and comparison methods of predictive models by machine learning algorithms are investigated to evaluate the level of predictive models in order to determine the optimal predictive model. The results show that the PSO-SVR model performs best in predicting athlete engagement, with a prediction accuracy of 0.9262, along with low RMSE (0.1227), MSE (0.0146) and MAE (0.0656). The prediction accuracy of the PSO-SVR model exhibits an obvious advantage. This advantage is mainly attributed to its strong generalization ability, nonlinear processing ability, and the ability to optimize and adapt to the feature space. Particularly noteworthy is that the PSO-SVR model reduces the RMSE (7.54%), MSE (17.05%), and MAE (3.53%) significantly, while improves the R (1.69%), when compared to advanced algorithms such as SWO. These results indicate that the PSO-SVR model not only improves the accuracy of prediction, but also enhances the reliability of the model, making it a powerful tool for predicting athlete engagement. In summary, this study not only provides a new perspective for understanding athlete engagement, but also provides important practical guidance for improving athlete engagement and overall performance. By adopting the PSO-SVR model, we can more accurately identify and optimise the key factors affecting athlete engagement, thus bringing far-reaching implications for research and practice in sport science and related fields.

摘要

运动员参与度受到多种因素的影响,包括凝聚力、热情和心理韧性。由于机器学习方法效率高,因此经常被用于构建预测模型。为了理解凝聚力、热情和心理韧性对运动员参与度的影响,本研究利用机器学习的相关方法构建预测模型,以找出它们之间的内在联系。研究了通过机器学习算法构建和比较预测模型的方法,以评估预测模型的水平,从而确定最优预测模型。结果表明,PSO-SVR模型在预测运动员参与度方面表现最佳,预测准确率为0.9262,同时均方根误差(RMSE)较低(0.1227)、均方误差(MSE)为0.0146、平均绝对误差(MAE)为0.0656。PSO-SVR模型的预测准确率具有明显优势。这一优势主要归因于其强大的泛化能力、非线性处理能力以及优化和适应特征空间的能力。特别值得注意的是,与SWO等先进算法相比,PSO-SVR模型显著降低了RMSE(7.54%)、MSE(17.05%)和MAE(3.53%),同时提高了R(1.69%)。这些结果表明,PSO-SVR模型不仅提高了预测准确率,还增强了模型的可靠性,使其成为预测运动员参与度的有力工具。总之,本研究不仅为理解运动员参与度提供了新的视角,也为提高运动员参与度和整体表现提供了重要的实践指导。通过采用PSO-SVR模型,我们可以更准确地识别和优化影响运动员参与度的关键因素,从而对运动科学及相关领域的研究和实践产生深远影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d4f2/11763253/b52253ea75c9/41598_2025_87794_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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