Katanoda Kota, Hirabayashi Mayo, Saito Eiko, Hori Megumi, Abe Sarah Krull, Matsuda Tomohiro, Collaborators Manami Inoue The Cancer Paf Japan
Division of Cancer Statistics Integration, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Division of Prevention, Center for Public Health Sciences, National Cancer Center, Tokyo, Japan.
GHM Open. 2021 Dec 31;1(2):43-50. doi: 10.35772/ghmo.2021.01013.
Tobacco is the greatest single cause of many non-communicable diseases, including cancer. We calculated the proportion of cancer incidence and mortality in 2015 attributable to tobacco smoking and exposure to secondhand smoke (SHS). Data on the prevalence of active smoking were derived from the 2005 Japanese National Health and Nutrition Survey by age group and gender. For SHS exposure prevalence, data from a nationwide cross-sectional survey from 2004-2005 were used. Based on standard formulas, population attributable fractions (PAFs) for each cancer causally associated with active smoking, namely the oral cavity and pharynx, esophagus, stomach, colon, rectum, liver, pancreas, nasal, larynx, lung, uterine cervix, kidney, renal pelvis and ureter, bladder, and acute myeloid leukemia, were calculated for each sex and age group and aggregated to obtain the PAF among total cancer incidence and mortality. For SHS exposure, PAFs for lung cancer and total cancer were calculated using the same method. For Japan in 2015, 145,765 new cancer cases and 72,520 cancer deaths, corresponding to a PAF of 15.2% for total cancer incidence and 19.6% for total cancer mortality, were attributable to active tobacco smoking. For SHS exposure, 0.5% of total cancer incidence and 0.7% of total cancer mortality in 2015 were attributable. Tobacco is still one of the major causes of cancer in Japan.
烟草是包括癌症在内的许多非传染性疾病的最大单一病因。我们计算了2015年归因于吸烟和接触二手烟(SHS)的癌症发病率和死亡率比例。当前吸烟流行率的数据来自2005年日本全国健康与营养调查,按年龄组和性别划分。对于二手烟暴露流行率,使用了2004 - 2005年全国横断面调查的数据。根据标准公式,针对每种与当前吸烟有因果关联的癌症,即口腔和咽部、食管、胃、结肠、直肠、肝脏、胰腺、鼻腔、喉、肺、子宫颈、肾脏、肾盂和输尿管、膀胱以及急性髓细胞白血病,计算每个性别和年龄组的人群归因分数(PAF),并汇总以获得所有癌症发病率和死亡率中的PAF。对于二手烟暴露,使用相同方法计算肺癌和所有癌症的PAF。对于2015年的日本,145,765例新发癌症病例和72,520例癌症死亡归因于当前吸烟,分别占所有癌症发病率的PAF为15.2%,占所有癌症死亡率的PAF为19.6%。对于二手烟暴露,2015年占所有癌症发病率的0.5%,占所有癌症死亡率的0.7%。在日本,烟草仍然是癌症的主要病因之一。