Xie Zhongyong, Huang Zhihua, Ran Qifeng, Luo Wenmin, Du Wei
Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Department of Pediatrics, Huizhou First Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital, Huizhou, Guangdong, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Mar 29;15(1):10916. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-95486-w.
Drowning is a major global public health issue with marked variations in incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) across regions, age groups, and sexes. Although previous studies have examined global trends in drowning, few have comprehensively analyzed regional and national disparities while addressing potential reporting biases and confounding factors. Data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021, focusing on drowning-related incidence, death rates, and DALYs, and examined trends from 1990 to 2021 across various regions and countries. The study used age-standardized rates to assess trends and risk factors associated with drowning. In 2021, there were 856.1 thousand drowning cases globally, leading to 274.2 thousand deaths and 15.7 million DALYs. Age-standardized rates showed significant reductions since 1990: incidence decreased by 51.5% to 11.1, deaths by 60.9% to 3.6, and DALYs by 67.3% to 211.9. Solomon Islands, Belarus, and Ukraine had the highest incidence rates, while Nauru, Central African Republic, and Marshall Islands reported the highest death and DALYs rates. DALYs rates were highest in children aged 0-5 years and declined with age. A negative correlation was observed between SDI and DALYs rates. Key risk factors included occupational injuries (13.2%), high temperature (4.6%), and alcohol use (1.7%), while low temperature had a negative contribution (-10.6%). Despite reductions, drowning remains a major public health issue, especially in low-SDI countries. Targeted interventions addressing Occupational injuries, High temperature and Alcohol use are essential to further reduce drowning-related morbidity and mortality.
溺水是一个重大的全球公共卫生问题,在不同地区、年龄组和性别之间,其发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)存在显著差异。尽管先前的研究已经考察了全球溺水趋势,但很少有研究在解决潜在报告偏差和混杂因素的同时,全面分析区域和国家间的差异。来自《2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究》的数据,聚焦于与溺水相关的发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年,并研究了1990年至2021年期间不同地区和国家的趋势。该研究使用年龄标准化率来评估与溺水相关的趋势和风险因素。2021年,全球有85.61万例溺水病例,导致27.42万人死亡和1570万伤残调整生命年。自1990年以来,年龄标准化率显著下降:发病率下降了51.5%至11.1,死亡率下降了60.9%至3.6,伤残调整生命年下降了67.3%至211.9。所罗门群岛、白俄罗斯和乌克兰的发病率最高,而瑙鲁、中非共和国和马绍尔群岛的死亡率和伤残调整生命年率最高。0至5岁儿童的伤残调整生命年率最高,并随年龄增长而下降。社会人口指数(SDI)与伤残调整生命年率之间存在负相关。主要风险因素包括职业伤害(13.2%)、高温(4.6%)和饮酒(1.7%),而低温有负面影响(-10.6%)。尽管有所下降,但溺水仍然是一个重大的公共卫生问题,尤其是在社会人口指数较低的国家。针对职业伤害、高温和饮酒的有针对性干预对于进一步降低溺水相关的发病率和死亡率至关重要。