García Julian, Traulsen Arne
Department of Data Science and AI, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3800, Australia.
Department of Theoretical Biology,Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Biology, Plön 24306, Germany.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 Jun 24;122(25):e2319925121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2319925121. Epub 2025 Jun 16.
Evolutionary game theory (EGT) has been pivotal in the study of cooperation, offering formal models that account for how cooperation may arise in groups of selfish, but simple agents. This is done by inspecting the complex dynamics arising from simple interactions between a few strategies in a large population. As such, the strategies at stake are typically hand-picked by the modeler, resulting in a system with many more individuals in the population than strategies available to them. In the presence of noise and with multiple equilibria, the choice of strategies can considerably alter the emergent dynamics. As a result, model outcomes may not be robust to how the strategy set is chosen, sometimes misrepresenting the conditions required for cooperation to emerge. We propose three principles that can lead to a more systematic choice of the strategies in EGT models of cooperation. These are the inclusion of all computationally equivalent strategies; explicit microeconomic models of interactions, and a connection between stylized facts and model assumptions. Further, we argue that new methods arising in AI may offer a promising path toward richer models. These richer models can push the field of cooperation forward together with the principles described above. At the same time, AI may benefit from connecting to the more abstract models of EGT. We provide and discuss examples to substantiate these claims.
进化博弈论(EGT)在合作研究中一直起着关键作用,它提供了形式化模型,用以解释在自私但简单的主体群体中合作是如何产生的。这是通过研究大量个体中少数几种策略之间简单互动所产生的复杂动态来实现的。因此,所涉及的策略通常是由建模者精心挑选的,这就导致了群体中的个体数量远远多于他们可采用的策略数量。在存在噪声且有多个均衡的情况下,策略的选择会极大地改变所出现的动态。结果,模型结果可能对策略集的选择方式并不稳健,有时会错误地呈现合作出现所需的条件。我们提出了三条原则,可用于在合作的EGT模型中更系统地选择策略。这包括纳入所有计算上等效的策略;明确的微观经济互动模型,以及典型事实与模型假设之间的联系。此外,我们认为人工智能中出现的新方法可能为构建更丰富的模型提供一条有前景的途径。这些更丰富的模型可以与上述原则一起推动合作领域向前发展。同时,人工智能可能会从与更抽象的EGT模型建立联系中受益。我们提供并讨论了一些例子来证实这些观点。