Suppr超能文献

2024年巴西1岁以下住院儿童严重急性呼吸综合征病因的发病率和致死率风险:一项横断面研究

Risk of Incidence and Lethality by Etiology of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in Hospitalized Children Under 1 Year of Age in Brazil in 2024: A Cross-Sectional Study.

作者信息

Soares Tamires de Nazaré, Andrade Natasha Cristina Oliveira, Santos Suziane do Socorro Dos, Dergan Marcela Raíssa Asevedo, Takeda Karina Faine Freitas, Ramalho Jully Greyce Freitas de Paula, Cruz Luany Rafaele da Conceição, Corrêa Perla Katheleen Valente, Almeida Marli de Oliveira, Freitas Joyce Dos Santos, Silva Wilker Alves, Silva Marcos Jessé Abrahão, Sardinha Daniele Melo, Lima Luana Nepomuceno Gondim Costa

机构信息

Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biologia Parasitária na Amazônia, Universidade do Estado do Pará e Instituto Evandro Chagas (PPGBPA/UEPA/IEC), Belem 66087-662, Pará, Brazil.

Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Universidade do Federal do Pará (PPGENF/UFPA), Belem 66087-662, Pará, Brazil.

出版信息

Trop Med Infect Dis. 2025 Jun 14;10(6):168. doi: 10.3390/tropicalmed10060168.

Abstract

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) represents a significant cause of morbidity and mortality in children under one year of age, a particularly vulnerable population due to immunological and respiratory immaturity. The diverse etiology includes multiple respiratory viruses such as Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), influenza, rhinovirus, and SARS-CoV-2, each with distinct potential to cause severe illness and death. Understanding the specific incidence and lethality by etiological agents in the recent Brazilian context (2024), after the COVID-19 pandemic, is essential to guide surveillance and public health strategies. This study aimed to analyze the risk of incidence and lethality by specific etiology of SARS in children under one year of age hospitalized in Brazil during the year 2024. A descriptive cross-sectional study was performed using secondary data from the 2024 Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System (SIVEP-Gripe), obtained via OpenDataSUS. Reported cases of SARS hospitalized in children <1 year of age in Brazil were included. Distribution by final classification and epidemiological week (EW) was analyzed; the incidence rate by Federative Unit (FU) (cases/100,000 < 1 year) with risk classification (Low/Moderate/High) was assessed; and, for cases with positive viral RT-PCR, the etiological frequency and virus-specific lethality rate (deaths/total cases of etiology ×100), also with risk classification, were extracted. A multivariate logistic regression model was performed for the risk factors of death. A total of 66,170 cases of SARS were reported in children under 1 year old (national incidence: 2663/100,000), with a seasonal peak between April and May. The majority of cases were classified as "SARS due to another respiratory virus" (49.06%) or "unspecified" (37.46%). Among 36,009 cases with positive RT-PCR, RSV (50.06%) and rhinovirus (26.97%) were the most frequent. The overall lethality in RT-PCR-positive cases was 1.28%. Viruses such as parainfluenza 4 (8.57%), influenza B (2.86%), parainfluenza 3 (2.49%), and SARS-CoV-2 (2.47%) had higher lethality. The multivariate model identified parainfluenza 4 (OR = 6.806), chronic kidney disease (OR = 3.820), immunodeficiency (OR = 3.680), Down Syndrome (OR = 3.590), heart disease (OR = 3.129), neurological disease (OR = 2.250), low O saturation (OR = 1.758), SARS-CoV-2 (OR = 1.569) and respiratory distress (OR = 1.390) as risk factors for death. Cough (OR = 0.477) and RSV (OR = 0.736) were associated with a lower chance of death. The model had good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow = 0.693) and overall significance ( < 0.001). SARS represented a substantial burden of hospitalizations, with marked seasonal and geographic patterns. RSV and rhinovirus were the main agents responsible for the volume of confirmed cases but had a relatively low to moderate risk of lethality. In contrast, less frequent viruses such as parainfluenza 4, influenza B, parainfluenza 3, and SARS-CoV-2 were associated with a significantly higher risk of death. These findings highlight the importance of dissociating frequency from lethality and reinforce the need to strengthen etiological surveillance, improve diagnosis, and direct preventive strategies (such as immunizations) considering the specific risk of each pathogen for this vulnerable population.

摘要

严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)是一岁以下儿童发病和死亡的重要原因,由于免疫和呼吸功能不成熟,这一人群特别脆弱。多种病因包括多种呼吸道病毒,如呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)、流感病毒、鼻病毒和SARS-CoV-2,每种病毒导致严重疾病和死亡的可能性各不相同。了解在新冠疫情后的近期巴西背景下(2024年)病原体的具体发病率和致死率,对于指导监测和公共卫生策略至关重要。本研究旨在分析2024年巴西一岁以下住院儿童因特定病因导致SARS的发病风险和致死风险。使用通过OpenDataSUS获得的2024年流感流行病学监测信息系统(SIVEP-Gripe)的二手数据进行了描述性横断面研究。纳入了巴西一岁以下儿童因SARS住院的报告病例。分析了最终分类和流行病学周(EW)的分布情况;评估了联邦单位(FU)的发病率(每10万<1岁儿童中的病例数)及风险分类(低/中/高);对于病毒RT-PCR检测呈阳性的病例,提取了病因频率和病毒特异性致死率(死亡数/该病因的总病例数×100),同样也包括风险分类。对死亡风险因素进行了多变量逻辑回归模型分析。巴西共报告了66170例一岁以下儿童的SARS病例(全国发病率:2663/10万),4月至5月出现季节性高峰。大多数病例被分类为“其他呼吸道病毒导致的SARS”(49.06%)或“未明确”(37.46%)。在36009例RT-PCR检测呈阳性的病例中,RSV(50.06%)和鼻病毒(26.97%)最为常见。RT-PCR检测呈阳性病例的总体致死率为1.28%。副流感病毒4型(8.57%)、乙型流感病毒(2.86%)、副流感病毒3型(2.49%)和SARS-CoV-2(2.47%)等病毒的致死率较高。多变量模型确定副流感病毒4型(OR = 6.806)、慢性肾病(OR = 3.820)、免疫缺陷(OR = 3.680)、唐氏综合征(OR = 3.590)、心脏病(OR = 3.129)、神经系统疾病(OR = 2.250)、低氧饱和度(OR = 1.758)、SARS-CoV-2(OR = 1.569)和呼吸窘迫(OR = 1.390)为死亡风险因素。咳嗽(OR = 0.477)和RSV(OR = .736)与较低的死亡几率相关。该模型具有良好的校准度(Hosmer-Lemeshow = 0.693)和总体显著性(<0.001)。SARS造成了大量住院负担,呈现出明显的季节性和地理模式。RSV和鼻病毒是确诊病例数量的主要病原体,但致死风险相对较低至中等。相比之下,副流感病毒4型、乙型流感病毒、副流感病毒3型和SARS-CoV-2等较不常见的病毒与显著更高的死亡风险相关。这些发现凸显了区分发病率和致死率的重要性,并强化了加强病因监测、改善诊断以及考虑每种病原体对这一脆弱人群的特定风险制定直接预防策略(如免疫接种)的必要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e66c/12197681/7c5f5be2caec/tropicalmed-10-00168-g001.jpg

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验