van den Broek Thijs, Kravdal Øystein
Erasmus School of Health Policy, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Centre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2025 Jul 25;80(8). doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbaf118.
The literature on gray divorce, that is, marital dissolution at age 50 or later, has hitherto had little consideration for differences between migrants and non-migrants. Differing family attitudes and socio-economic characteristics may, however, lead to differences between non-migrants and (specific groups of) migrants in gray divorce risks and in the mental health implications of gray divorce. We assess such differences by comparing native Norwegians and five groups of migrants (from Nordic countries; Western Europe; Eastern Europe; North Africa, Turkey, and Middle East; Asia) in Norway.
Drawing on administrative data covering Norway's full population, group-specific age-standardized divorce rates for the period 1990-2018 are calculated. Group-specific trajectories of mental healthcare use around gray divorce are estimated for the shorter period 2008-2018, using linear probability fixed-effects models.
Age-standardized gray divorce rates have risen for native Norwegians. Rates for migrants are somewhat higher, but for migrants from Eastern Europe, from North Africa, Turkey and the Middle East, and from Asia, no increase in gray divorce risks can be noted. Mental healthcare use rises in the years prior to divorce, peaks in the year of divorce and then declines again. This pattern is largely similar for native Norwegians and the five migrant groups.
Despite typically more negative attitudes toward divorce in several migrant communities, gray divorce rates tend to be higher in some migrant groups than among native Norwegians. The mental healthcare use trajectories around gray divorce in native Norwegians and in the migrant groups considered are highly similar.
关于“灰色离婚”（即50岁及以后的婚姻解体）的文献迄今很少考虑移民与非移民之间的差异。然而，不同的家庭观念和社会经济特征可能导致非移民与（特定群体的）移民在灰色离婚风险以及灰色离婚对心理健康的影响方面存在差异。我们通过比较挪威的本土居民和五组移民（来自北欧国家、西欧、东欧、北非、土耳其和中东、亚洲）来评估这些差异。
利用涵盖挪威全体人口的行政数据，计算1990 - 2018年期间特定群体的年龄标准化离婚率。使用线性概率固定效应模型，对2008 - 2018年这一较短时期内灰色离婚前后特定群体使用心理保健服务的轨迹进行估计。
挪威本土居民的年龄标准化灰色离婚率有所上升。移民的离婚率略高，但来自东欧、北非、土耳其和中东以及亚洲的移民，灰色离婚风险没有增加。离婚前几年心理保健服务的使用量上升，在离婚当年达到峰值，然后再次下降。挪威本土居民和五个移民群体的这种模式基本相似。
尽管在几个移民社区对离婚通常持更消极的态度，但一些移民群体的灰色离婚率往往高于挪威本土居民。挪威本土居民和所考虑的移民群体在灰色离婚前后使用心理保健服务的轨迹高度相似。
