Systematic review protocol for effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of non-surgical interventions to prevent diabetes progression in adults with prediabetes.

UNLABELLED

IntroductionPrediabetes (PD), defined by impaired glucose tolerance or impaired fasting glucose, represents a growing global health challenge, with a prevalence projected to increase substantially. PD is a critical intervention target because of its high annual progression rate (5-10%) to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and elevated cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Non-surgical interventions (NSIs), particularly lifestyle modifications (LMs) and pharmacological therapies, are the cornerstone of PD management, demonstrating efficacy and cost efficiency over surgical options. However, despite LM's ability to reduce T2DM incidence by 40-70% in trials such as the Diabetes Prevention Program, real-world implementation faces barriers, including resource intensity and complex delivery requirements, which increase upfront costs. We aim to review scientific literature reporting on the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of NSIs for preventing the progression of PD to T2DM among adults.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A comprehensive systematic search will be conducted across major biomedical databases (PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Library, Web of Science) for records published up to July 2024. We will include studies involving adults diagnosed with PD according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) or WHO criteria, focusing on LM and pharmacological treatments. Observational and interventional study designs, including economic evaluations, will be considered.

PRIMARY OUTCOME

diabetes incidence (ADA or WHO glycaemic criteria).

SECONDARY OUTCOMES

(1) CVD risk factors, (2) health utilities and (3) healthcare cost analyses. The protocol adheres to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols 2015 guidelines and is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42024561294). Data extraction and quality assessment will be performed by two reviewers, with discrepancies resolved by the consensus of a third reviewer. Data will be narratively synthesised; if the data allow, a meta-analysis will be conducted.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This systematic review was exempt from ethical approval as it involved no collection of individual patient data and posed no confidentiality risks. The findings will be shared via publication in a peer-reviewed journal or presentation at relevant conferences.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42024561294.