Boice J D, Storm H H, Curtis R E, Jensen O M, Kleinerman R A, Jensen H S, Flannery J T, Fraumeni J F
Natl Cancer Inst Monogr. 1985 Dec;68:3-9.
To lay the groundwork for subsequent chapters in this monograph of multiple primary cancers in Connecticut and Denmark, we present a description of the historical significance of previous studies, focusing on key surveys that have enhanced our understanding of the origins of multiple cancers. Case reports, hospital series, and cancer registry studies have progressively sharpened our perspective on the patterns and causes of multiple cancers. These findings in turn have generated hypotheses about host and environmental determinants of various combinations of cancer and have provided clues to the actual mechanisms of carcinogenesis. The registries of Connecticut and Denmark which began in the 1930s and 1940s, respectively, afford investigators a unique opportunity to analyze the cancer experience of well-defined populations, followed for long periods. The major contribution of this monograph is the evaluation of second cancer risks among long-term survivors of cancer, including relatively rare tumors about which little information currently exists. For patients with a particular cancer, the number of observed second cancers are tabulated over time and compared with those expected if the patients experienced the same rates prevailing in the corresponding general population. We have discussed problems in distinguishing statistical artifacts from biologically plausible associations in light of the potential biases inherent in follow-up surveys of cancer patients; for example, heightened medical surveillance and mistaken metastases could result in false indications of elevated risk. Several differences in the reporting, follow-up, and coding practices between the Connecticut and Denmark registries are described and probably account for many differences in the reported findings.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
为了为本篇关于康涅狄格州和丹麦多原发癌的专著后续章节奠定基础,我们阐述了以往研究的历史意义,重点关注那些增进了我们对多癌起源理解的关键调查。病例报告、医院系列研究以及癌症登记研究逐渐使我们对多癌的模式和成因有了更清晰的认识。这些发现进而催生了关于癌症各种组合的宿主和环境决定因素的假说,并为致癌的实际机制提供了线索。康涅狄格州和丹麦的登记处分别始于20世纪30年代和40年代,为研究人员提供了一个独特的机会,可对明确界定的人群进行长期追踪,分析其癌症患病情况。本专著的主要贡献在于评估癌症长期幸存者中的二次患癌风险,包括目前信息较少的相对罕见肿瘤。对于患有特定癌症的患者,观察到的二次患癌数量会随时间列表,并与如果患者经历相应普通人群中普遍存在的相同发病率时预期的数量进行比较。鉴于癌症患者随访调查中固有的潜在偏差,我们讨论了区分统计假象与生物学上合理关联的问题;例如,加强医疗监测和误诊转移可能导致风险升高的错误指示。描述了康涅狄格州和丹麦登记处在报告、随访和编码实践方面的若干差异,这些差异可能解释了报告结果中的许多差异。(摘要截于250字)