Pollard R
Lancet. 1980 May 31;1(8179):1180-2. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(80)91632-3.
The number of notified cases of whooping cough in the 1977-79 outbreak in England and Wales was the largest for over 20 years. The percentage of children receiving pertussis vaccine has declined sharply since 1974. Area Health Authorities with low vaccination acceptance had notification-rates 60% above those with higher acceptance. There was a partial correlation coefficient of -0.57 (p less than 0.001) between vaccination and notification rates after elimination of the effects of social class and overcrowding. The 1-4 year age-group, which contained the children most affected by the decline in vaccination-rates, showed a much bigger increase in notifications than other age-groups. The evidence suggests a direct relation between the decline in vaccination-rate and the increase in notifications.
1977 - 1979年英格兰和威尔士百日咳疫情中报告的病例数是20多年来最多的。自1974年以来,接种百日咳疫苗的儿童比例急剧下降。疫苗接种接受率低的地区卫生当局的报告率比接受率高的地区高出60%。在消除社会阶层和过度拥挤的影响后,疫苗接种率与报告率之间的偏相关系数为 -0.57(p小于0.001)。1 - 4岁年龄组包含了受疫苗接种率下降影响最大的儿童,该年龄组的报告病例数增幅远高于其他年龄组。证据表明疫苗接种率下降与报告病例数增加之间存在直接关系。