Billings C E, Reynard W D
Aviat Space Environ Med. 1984 Oct;55(10):960-5.
Human error causes or contributes to considerably over half of all aviation mishaps. This report describes a 7-year study of aircraft incident data conducted in an attempt to further our understanding of the phenomenon of human error. The study of incidents as a surrogate for aircraft accidents is relevant only if incidents constitute a population or universe of which accidents are a subset. This assumption has been examined in a study of over 35,000 reports of aviation incidents collected from 1976-83 by the NASA Aviation Safety Reporting System. One-third of the reports involve conflicts among aircraft. The most common single-aircraft anomalies in flight involve altitude or track deviations. The most common controller errors involve failure to coordinate traffic with other elements of the air traffic control system. Analysis of these reports indicates that both human and system factors contributing to human errors can be identified. Many other incidents involve shortcomings specifically of the human, rather than of the system. Failures of control are rare in this series, but failures of decision-making and cockpit resource management are frequent. Boredom, complacency and ennui appear to underlie some failures, while very high workloads are associated with others. These data indicate that at least several categories of aircraft accidents involving operational and human factors are, in fact, subsets of populations of incidents containing the same elements. The environment in which an incident occurs is extremely important in determining its outcome. It is concluded that aviation incident reports are a necessary and important instrument in safety surveillance.
人为失误导致或促成了超过半数的航空事故。本报告描述了一项为期7年的飞机事故数据研究,旨在加深我们对人为失误现象的理解。仅当事故构成一个总体,而事故是其中的一个子集时,将事故作为飞机事故的替代进行研究才具有相关性。这一假设已在一项研究中得到检验,该研究分析了美国国家航空航天局(NASA)航空安全报告系统在1976年至1983年期间收集的35000多份航空事故报告。三分之一的报告涉及飞机之间的冲突。飞行中最常见的单机异常情况涉及高度或航线偏差。管制员最常见的错误是未能与空中交通管制系统的其他要素协调交通。对这些报告的分析表明,导致人为失误的人为因素和系统因素都可以被识别出来。许多其他事故具体涉及人为而非系统的缺陷。在这一系列事故中,控制失误很少见,但决策失误和驾驶舱资源管理失误很常见。无聊、自满和倦怠似乎是一些失误的根源,而其他失误则与极高的工作量有关。这些数据表明,至少几类涉及操作和人为因素的飞机事故实际上是包含相同要素的事故总体的子集。事故发生的环境对于决定其结果极为重要。结论是,航空事故报告是安全监督中必要且重要的工具。