Choi K, Thacker S B
Am J Public Health. 1982 Nov;72(11):1280-3. doi: 10.2105/ajph.72.11.1280.
Excess deaths due to pneumonia and influenza and excess deaths for all causes were estimated using a time-series analysis for each of the eight influenza epidemics in the United States that occurred between 1967-1978. The effects of different analytic methods and different methods of structuring data are compared. Future directions for estimating the impact of influenza on mortality include a combination of regression techniques and multiple time-series analyses of surveillance data.
利用时间序列分析方法,对美国1967年至1978年间发生的八次流感疫情中的每一次,估算了肺炎和流感导致的超额死亡以及所有原因导致的超额死亡。比较了不同分析方法和不同数据构建方法的效果。估算流感对死亡率影响的未来方向包括回归技术与监测数据的多个时间序列分析相结合。