Packard R B
Br J Ophthalmol. 1980 Aug;64(8):565-75. doi: 10.1136/bjo.64.8.565.
A large series of cases of malignant choroidal melanoma has been reviewed. Certain risk factors have been related to prognosis by means of actuarial life tables. With information from these tables to calculate mortality rates graphs were drawn for various risk factors to demonstrate the differing pattern in tumours of varying size, degree of pigment, position of anterior border, etc. Further, a discriminant analysis was carried out in relation to differing cell types of tumour. It was concluded that tumour size overall was most important for assessing prognosis, and for small tumours the type of treatment seems not to influence survival. The presence of an early mortality peak is found, as suggested in other series, but a second peak is also present. A possible cause of this later peak is suggested.
对大量脉络膜恶性黑色素瘤病例进行了回顾。通过精算寿命表将某些危险因素与预后相关联。利用这些表格中的信息计算死亡率,针对各种危险因素绘制了图表,以展示不同大小、色素程度、前缘位置等肿瘤的不同模式。此外,针对肿瘤的不同细胞类型进行了判别分析。得出的结论是,总体而言肿瘤大小对评估预后最为重要,对于小肿瘤,治疗方式似乎不影响生存率。正如其他系列研究中所指出的,发现存在早期死亡高峰,但也存在第二个高峰。提出了这一后期高峰的一个可能原因。