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伦敦成年人身高与死亡率:早年生活、社会经济混杂因素还是身高缩减?

Adult height and mortality in London: early life, socioeconomic confounding, or shrinkage?

作者信息

Leon D A, Smith G D, Shipley M, Strachan D

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Community Health. 1995 Feb;49(1):5-9. doi: 10.1136/jech.49.1.5.

Abstract

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To examine in detail the cause specific associations between height and mortality.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study with an 18 year mortality follow up.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

The Whitehall study of 18,403 men in the civil service in London examined between 1967 and 1969 aged 40-64 and followed up for mortality until the end of January 1987.

MAIN RESULTS

There was considerable variation in the strength of height-mortality association by cause. Respiratory disease showed the strongest inverse association, cardiovascular disease a moderate effect, and all neoplasms virtually no effect. Adjustment for age and civil service grade reduced the strength of these associations slightly, but had no impact on the heterogeneous pattern by cause (chi 2 3df p < 0.001). The height-mortality association declined with the length of follow up. By 15+ years, the only appreciable height affect was for respiratory disease mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The attenuation of the height-mortality association with length of follow up might be explained by differential height reduction before entry that was greatest for people who were already ill, and hence at greatest risk of dying. The cause specific variation in the height-mortality association lends little support to the contention that impaired growth in childhood is a marker of general susceptibility to disease in adulthood.

摘要

研究目的

详细研究身高与死亡率之间特定病因的关联。

设计

一项前瞻性队列研究,进行了18年的死亡率随访。

地点和参与者

白厅研究对1967年至1969年间年龄在40 - 64岁的18403名伦敦公务员男性进行了调查,并随访死亡率直至1987年1月底。

主要结果

身高与死亡率的关联强度因病因不同而有很大差异。呼吸系统疾病显示出最强的负相关,心血管疾病有中等影响,而所有肿瘤几乎没有影响。对年龄和公务员级别进行调整后,这些关联的强度略有降低,但对按病因划分的异质性模式没有影响(卡方检验,自由度为3,p < 0.001)。身高与死亡率的关联随随访时间的延长而减弱。到15年以上时,唯一明显的身高影响是对呼吸系统疾病死亡率。

结论

身高与死亡率的关联随随访时间延长而减弱,这可能是由于入组前身高下降存在差异,对于已患病且因此死亡风险最高的人下降幅度最大。身高与死亡率关联在病因上的差异,几乎无法支持童年生长发育受损是成年后对疾病普遍易感性标志这一论点。

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