Panos M Z, Walt R P, Stevenson C, Langman M J
Department of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, University of Birmingham.
Gut. 1995 Apr;36(4):488-91. doi: 10.1136/gut.36.4.488.
Between 1968 and 1991, the number of deaths from non-malignant oesophageal disease (NMOD) (International Classification of Diseases code 530), recorded by the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys (OPCS) in England and Wales, trebled in women, from 118 to 340 (5 to 13 per million) and doubled in men, from 131 to 251 (5.5 to 10 per million). Calculation of age specific death rates, shows the increase to result from a rise in mortality in those over 75 years and age standardised mortality confirms a rise in overall frequency from 2.9 to 7.0 deaths per million men and 5.2 to 13.1 per million women. Between 1974 and 1988 when specific diagnoses were coded, deaths from oesophageal ulcer rose from 1.5 to 2.5 per million. In men, the death rate from oesophageal stricture increased from 2.5 to 3 per million and in women from 3.5 to 6 per million. Mortality from oesophageal perforation did not change (1 per million). Some of these changes reflect the increasing age of the population in general, but further explanations are required. Review of 84 sets of case notes from a total of 281 inpatients whose coded diagnoses had included NMOD and who had died suggested that in 28 (33%) death was actually due to NMOD, and in seven of these endoscopic intervention was responsible. The certified underlying cause of death was compared with that suggested from case note review in 62 cases; death from NMOD was substantially underestimated. This study concludes that a rising death rate attributed to NMOD is underestimated on death certificates and that endoscopic intervention explains only a few of the cases.
1968年至1991年间,英格兰和威尔士人口普查与调查办公室(OPCS)记录的非恶性食管疾病(NMOD)(国际疾病分类代码530)死亡人数,女性增加了两倍,从118人增至340人(每百万人口中从5人增至13人),男性增加了一倍,从131人增至251人(每百万人口中从5.5人增至10人)。按年龄组计算死亡率显示,这种增加是由于75岁以上人群死亡率上升所致,年龄标准化死亡率证实总体发生率有所上升,男性从每百万2.9人死亡增至7.0人,女性从每百万5.2人死亡增至13.1人。1974年至1988年期间进行特定诊断编码时,食管溃疡导致的死亡人数从每百万1.5人增至2.5人。在男性中,食管狭窄导致的死亡率从每百万2.5人增至3人,女性从每百万3.5人增至6人。食管穿孔导致的死亡率没有变化(每百万1人)。其中一些变化部分反映了总体人口年龄的增长,但还需要进一步解释。对总共281名住院患者的84套病例记录进行回顾,这些患者的编码诊断包括NMOD且已死亡,结果表明,28例(33%)死亡实际归因于NMOD,其中7例是由内镜干预导致的。将62例病例的死亡证明上的法定根本死因与病例记录回顾得出的死因进行比较;NMOD导致的死亡被严重低估。本研究得出结论,归因于NMOD的死亡率上升在死亡证明上被低估,且内镜干预仅解释了少数病例。