Almirall J, Mesalles E, Klamburg J, Parra O, Agudo A
Intensive Care Unit Hospital Germans Trias i Pujol, Badalona, Barcelona, Spain.
Chest. 1995 Feb;107(2):511-6. doi: 10.1378/chest.107.2.511.
All patients with severe pneumonias (community-acquired and nosocomial) who required treatment in the intensive care unit (ICU) were included in a 3-year prospective study. Predictive factors for a fatal outcome were analyzed in 127 patients. An etiologic diagnosis was made in 70 (55.1%) patients. Culture of sputum or tracheobronchial secretions were used only as criteria for microbiologic diagnosis of Legionella pneumophila. The pathogens most frequently identified were L pneumophila, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa. Viruses were not detected as causative agents. A total of 54 patients died (mortality rate, 42.5%). The univariate analysis showed the following factors associated with mortality: advanced age (> or = 70 years); presence of septic shock, requirement of mechanical ventilation, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score [SAPS] index > 12 at the time of admission to the ICU or when symptoms appeared in patients already admitted to the ICU; development of any complication during ICU hospitalization; and P aeruginosa as the etiologic agent of the pneumonia. When all variables were introduced by a stepwise method, the final model included advanced age (> or = 70 years), SAPS index > 12, presence of septic shock, requirement of mechanical ventilation, bilateral pulmonary involvement, and P aeruginosa as the etiologic agent of pneumonia as prognostic factors associated with a fatal outcome.
所有在重症监护病房(ICU)接受治疗的严重肺炎患者(包括社区获得性肺炎和医院获得性肺炎)均纳入一项为期3年的前瞻性研究。对127例患者分析了死亡结局的预测因素。70例(55.1%)患者做出了病因诊断。痰或气管支气管分泌物培养仅用作嗜肺军团菌微生物学诊断的标准。最常鉴定出的病原体为嗜肺军团菌、肺炎链球菌和铜绿假单胞菌。未检测到病毒作为病原体。共有54例患者死亡(死亡率为42.5%)。单因素分析显示以下因素与死亡率相关:高龄(≥70岁);存在感染性休克、需要机械通气,以及入住ICU时或已入住ICU的患者出现症状时简化急性生理学评分(SAPS)指数>12;在ICU住院期间发生任何并发症;以及肺炎的病原体为铜绿假单胞菌。当通过逐步法引入所有变量时,最终模型纳入了高龄(≥70岁)、SAPS指数>12、存在感染性休克、需要机械通气、双侧肺部受累,以及肺炎的病原体为铜绿假单胞菌作为与死亡结局相关的预后因素。