Schmidt W, Popham R E
Drug Alcohol Depend. 1975 Sep;1(1):27-50. doi: 10.1016/0376-8716(75)90005-8.
A review of morbidity and mortality studies bearing on the hazards to physical health of chronic heavy alchol use indicates that such use carries a risk of premature death greatly exceeding normal expectancy. While the life style typical of many heavy drinker contributes to this risk, the effects of alcohol per se account for a substantial part of the excess mortality. The lowest level of consumption at which there is a significant increase in the death rate has yet to be determined. It is certainly below 120 g/day- the lower limit of consumption of most clinical alcoholics-and quite possibly below 35-60g: levels which appear to carry an increased likelihood of cirrhosis and certain cancers. On the other hand, the mortality experience of drinkers commonly identified as 'moderate' in the literature does not seem to differ notably from that of life-long abstainers. The relationship between heavy drinking and elevated mortality is exhibited in populations at large by the generally close covariation of cirrhosis death rates and per capita alcohol sales. There are also indications of co-variation between the latter and the excess of male over female general mortality in the middle age range.
一项关于长期大量饮酒对身体健康危害的发病率和死亡率研究综述表明,这种饮酒方式会带来远超正常预期的过早死亡风险。虽然许多酗酒者典型的生活方式也会导致这种风险,但酒精本身的影响在额外死亡率中占了很大一部分。导致死亡率显著上升的最低饮酒量尚未确定。肯定低于120克/天——大多数临床酗酒者的饮酒下限——很可能还低于35 - 60克:这个水平似乎会增加患肝硬化和某些癌症的可能性。另一方面,文献中通常被认定为“适度”饮酒者的死亡率经历似乎与终身戒酒者并无显著差异。在总体人群中,肝硬化死亡率与人均酒精销售量通常密切相关,这体现了大量饮酒与死亡率上升之间的关系。在中年人群中,人均酒精销售量与男性总体死亡率超过女性总体死亡率的情况之间也存在共变迹象。