决策场理论：一种在不确定环境中进行决策的动态认知方法。

Decision field theory: a dynamic-cognitive approach to decision making in an uncertain environment.

作者信息

Busemeyer J R, Townsend J T

机构信息

Psychological Sciences, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana 47907-1364.

出版信息

Psychol Rev. 1993 Jul;100(3):432-59. doi: 10.1037/0033-295x.100.3.432.

DOI:10.1037/0033-295x.100.3.432

PMID:8356185

Abstract

Decision field theory provides for a mathematical foundation leading to a dynamic, stochastic theory of decision behavior in an uncertain environment. This theory is used to explain (a) violations of stochastic dominance, (b) violations of strong stochastic transitivity, (c) violations of independence between alternatives, (d) serial position effects on preference, (e) speed-accuracy trade-off effects in decision making, (f) the inverse relation between choice probability and decision time, (g) changes in the direction of preference under time pressure, (h) slower decision times for avoidance as compared with approach conflicts, and (i) preference reversals between choice and selling price measures of preference. The proposed theory is compared with 4 other theories of decision making under uncertainty.

摘要

决策场理论为在不确定环境中形成动态随机决策行为理论提供了数学基础。该理论用于解释：（a）违反随机占优原则的情况；（b）违反强随机传递性的情况；（c）备选方案之间独立性的违反情况；（d）偏好的序列位置效应；（e）决策过程中的速度 - 准确性权衡效应；（f）选择概率与决策时间之间的反比关系；（g）时间压力下偏好方向的变化；（h）与趋近冲突相比，回避冲突时决策时间更长的情况；以及（i）偏好的选择和售卖价格度量之间的偏好逆转。将所提出的理论与其他4种不确定性条件下的决策理论进行了比较。