Diederich Adele
School of Humanities and Social Sciences, International University Bremen, Bremen, Germany.
Psychon Bull Rev. 2003 Mar;10(1):157-66. doi: 10.3758/bf03196480.
In this paper, decision making under time pressure for multiattribute choice alternatives in a risky environment is investigated. A model, multiattribute decision field theory (MDFT), is introduced that describes both the dynamic and the stochastic nature of decision making and accounts for the observed changes in choice probabilities, including preference reversals as a function of time limit. An experiment in which five different time limits were imposed on the decision maker is presented to test the predictions of the model. It is shown that MDFT is able to account for the complex decision behavior observed in the data. Furthermore, MDFT is compared with the predictions of decision field theory (Busemeyer & Townsend, 1993; Roe, Busemeyer, & Townsend, 2001).
本文研究了在风险环境下,多属性选择方案在时间压力下的决策制定。引入了一个模型——多属性决策场理论(MDFT),该模型描述了决策制定的动态性和随机性,并解释了观察到的选择概率变化,包括作为时间限制函数的偏好逆转。文中呈现了一个对决策者施加五种不同时间限制的实验,以检验该模型的预测。结果表明,MDFT能够解释数据中观察到的复杂决策行为。此外,还将MDFT与决策场理论的预测进行了比较(Busemeyer & Townsend,1993;Roe,Busemeyer,& Townsend,2001)。