Bithell J F, Stewart A M
Br J Cancer. 1975 Mar;31(3):271-87. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1975.62.
This paper reviews data relating to obstetric radiography from the Oxford Survey of Childhood Cancers, i.e. for deaths in Britain from 1953 to 1967. Some 8513 cases were traced and used in the analyses, together with an equal number of matched controls. The relative risk estimate (1-47 overall) does not vary significantly between different tumour groups, for different ages at death, nor between sexes. Other epidemiological factors-sibship position, maternal age, social class, region of residence and maternal morbidity-are analysed and show varying degrees of association, but not sufficient to "explain" the observed risk in terms of a selection effect. The dependence of the risk on the number of films exposed is highly significant and adequately described by a linear relationship. The timing of and reason for the exposure are also examined. Analysis of the risk by year of birth shows a pattern of steadily declining risk for both solid and haematopoietic tumours; this may be partly attributable to lower radiation doses per film exposed but is also due to the smaller numbers of films used. A consequence may well be that the risk-always of small clinical significance-would become virtually undetectable in future investigations.
本文回顾了来自牛津儿童癌症调查中与产科放射成像相关的数据,即关于1953年至1967年英国死亡情况的数据。在分析中追踪了约8513例病例,并使用了数量相等的匹配对照。相对风险估计值(总体为1.47)在不同肿瘤组之间、不同死亡年龄之间以及不同性别之间并无显著差异。对其他流行病学因素——出生顺序、母亲年龄、社会阶层、居住地区和母亲发病率——进行了分析,结果显示出不同程度的关联,但不足以从选择效应的角度“解释”所观察到的风险。风险对所拍摄X光片数量的依赖性非常显著,且可用线性关系充分描述。还对曝光的时间和原因进行了研究。按出生年份分析风险显示,实体瘤和造血系统肿瘤的风险均呈稳步下降趋势;这可能部分归因于每张X光片的辐射剂量降低,但也与使用的X光片数量减少有关。一个结果很可能是,这种风险——始终具有较小的临床意义——在未来的调查中可能几乎无法察觉。