Kneale G W, Stewart A M
J Natl Cancer Inst. 1976 Nov;57(5):1009-14. doi: 10.1093/jnci/57.5.1009.
A Mantel-Haenszel analysis of fetal irradiation subfactors indicated that most of the "extra" X-rayed cases in the Oxford Survey of Childhood Cancers were radiation induced. First trimester exposures were rare but probably ten times more dangerous than later exposures. Ratios of observed: expected numbers of cancer deaths were lower for children with abnormal X-rays than for other X-rayed children, and lower for recent than remote exposures. The first of these differences was probably due to several antenatal conditions having positive associations with obstetric radiography and several causes of early (noncancer) deaths; the second one was probably due to a progressive lowering of film doses between 1940 and the present time. A rare cause of fetal irradiation (hydramnios), whose associations with congenital defects are well documented, led to the discovery that two faults in the International Classification of Diseases and Causes of Death have contributed to mistaken ideas about the etiology of childhood cancers: Neoplasms were not listed among the official causes of stillbirths, and cystic tumors of the kidneys and lungs of infants were not listed as neoplasms.
对胎儿受辐照子因素进行的曼特尔-亨塞尔分析表明,牛津儿童癌症调查中大多数“额外”接受X射线检查的病例是由辐射引起的。孕早期接触辐射的情况很少见,但可能比后期接触危险十倍。X射线检查异常的儿童中,观察到的癌症死亡数与预期数之比低于其他接受X射线检查的儿童,近期接触辐射的儿童该比例低于远期接触者。第一个差异可能是由于几种产前情况与产科X线检查呈正相关,以及几种早期(非癌症)死亡原因;第二个差异可能是由于1940年至今胶片剂量逐渐降低。一种罕见的胎儿受辐照原因(羊水过多),其与先天性缺陷的关联已有充分记录,这导致发现《国际疾病和死因分类》中的两个错误导致了对儿童癌症病因的错误认识:官方死产原因中未列出肿瘤,婴儿肾和肺的囊性肿瘤未列为肿瘤。