Noakes C J, Beggs C B, Sleigh P A, Kerr K G
Aerobiological Research Group, School of Civil Engineering, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Epidemiol Infect. 2006 Oct;134(5):1082-91. doi: 10.1017/S0950268806005875. Epub 2006 Feb 14.
The Wells-Riley equation for modelling airborne infection in indoor environments is incorporated into an SEIR epidemic model with a short incubation period to simulate the transmission dynamics of airborne infectious diseases in ventilated rooms. The model enables the effect of environmental factors such as the ventilation rate and the room occupancy to be examined, and allows the long-term impact of infection control measures to be assessed. A theoretical parametric study is carried out to demonstrate how changes to both the physical environment and infection control procedures may potentially limit the spread of short-incubation-period airborne infections in indoor environments such as hospitals.
用于模拟室内环境中空气传播感染的威尔斯-莱利方程被纳入一个具有短潜伏期的SEIR流行病模型,以模拟通风房间中空气传播传染病的传播动态。该模型能够检验通风率和房间 occupancy 等环境因素的影响,并评估感染控制措施的长期影响。进行了一项理论参数研究,以证明物理环境和感染控制程序的变化如何可能限制医院等室内环境中短潜伏期空气传播感染的传播。