Woolhouse Mark E J, Gowtage-Sequeria Sonya
Centre for Infectious Diseases, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2005 Dec;11(12):1842-7. doi: 10.3201/eid1112.050997.
An updated literature survey identified 1,407 recognized species of human pathogen, 58% of which are zoonotic. Of the total, 177 are regarded as emerging or reemerging. Zoonotic pathogens are twice as likely to be in this category as are nonzoonotic pathogens. Emerging and reemerging pathogens are not strongly associated with particular types of nonhuman hosts, but they are most likely to have the broadest host ranges. Emerging and reemerging zoonoses are associated with a wide range of drivers, but changes in land use and agriculture and demographic and societal changes are most commonly cited. However, although zoonotic pathogens do represent the most likely source of emerging and reemerging infectious disease, only a small minority have proved capable of causing major epidemics in the human population.
一项最新的文献调查确定了1407种已知的人类病原体,其中58%是人畜共患病原体。在总数中,177种被视为新出现的或再度出现的病原体。人畜共患病原体属于这一类别的可能性是非人畜共患病原体的两倍。新出现的和再度出现的病原体与特定类型的非人类宿主没有紧密联系,但它们最有可能具有最广泛的宿主范围。新出现的和再度出现的人畜共患病与多种驱动因素有关,但土地利用和农业的变化以及人口和社会变化是最常被提及的。然而,尽管人畜共患病原体确实是新出现的和再度出现的传染病最可能的来源,但只有一小部分已被证明有能力在人类中引发重大疫情。
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