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全球自然灾害早期预警系统:系统化且以人为本。

Global early warning systems for natural hazards: systematic and people-centred.

作者信息

Basher Reid

机构信息

UN-ISDR Platform for the Promotion of Early Warning (PPEW), Bonn, Germany.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2006 Aug 15;364(1845):2167-82. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2006.1819.

Abstract

To be effective, early warning systems for natural hazards need to have not only a sound scientific and technical basis, but also a strong focus on the people exposed to risk, and with a systems approach that incorporates all of the relevant factors in that risk, whether arising from the natural hazards or social vulnerabilities, and from short-term or long-term processes. Disasters are increasing in number and severity and international institutional frameworks to reduce disasters are being strengthened under United Nations oversight. Since the Indian Ocean tsunami of 26 December 2004, there has been a surge of interest in developing early warning systems to cater to the needs of all countries and all hazards.

摘要

要发挥效用,自然灾害早期预警系统不仅需要有坚实的科学和技术基础,还需要高度关注面临风险的人群,并采用系统方法,纳入该风险中的所有相关因素,无论这些因素是源于自然灾害还是社会脆弱性,以及短期或长期过程。灾害的数量和严重程度都在增加,在联合国监督下,减少灾害的国际机构框架正在得到加强。自2004年12月26日印度洋海啸以来,人们对开发满足所有国家和所有灾害需求的早期预警系统的兴趣激增。

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