Lee Michael D
Department of Cognitive Sciences, University of California, Irvine, California 92697-5100, USA.
Psychon Bull Rev. 2008 Feb;15(1):1-15. doi: 10.3758/pbr.15.1.1.
Bayesian statistical inference offers a principled and comprehensive approach for relating psychological models to data. This article presents Bayesian analyses of three influential psychological models: multidimensional scaling models of stimulus representation, the generalized context model of category learning, and a signal detection theory model of decision making. In each case, the model is recast as a probabilistic graphical model and is evaluated in relation to a previously considered data set. In each case, it is shown that Bayesian inference is able to provide answers to important theoretical and empirical questions easily and coherently. The generality of the Bayesian approach and its potential for the understanding of models and data in psychology are discussed.
贝叶斯统计推断为将心理模型与数据联系起来提供了一种有原则且全面的方法。本文展示了对三种有影响力的心理模型的贝叶斯分析:刺激表征的多维缩放模型、类别学习的广义情境模型以及决策的信号检测理论模型。在每种情况下,该模型都被重塑为概率图模型,并根据先前考虑的数据集进行评估。在每种情况下,结果表明贝叶斯推断能够轻松且连贯地为重要的理论和实证问题提供答案。文中还讨论了贝叶斯方法的通用性及其在理解心理学模型和数据方面的潜力。