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低剂量率环境暴露后的乳腺癌发病率:捷恰河队列研究,1956 - 2004年

Breast cancer incidence following low-dose rate environmental exposure: Techa River Cohort, 1956-2004.

作者信息

Ostroumova E, Preston D L, Ron E, Krestinina L, Davis F G, Kossenko M, Akleyev A

机构信息

Radiation Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, MS 7238, 6120 Executive Boulevard, Bethesda, MD 20892-7238, USA.

出版信息

Br J Cancer. 2008 Dec 2;99(11):1940-5. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6604775. Epub 2008 Nov 11.

Abstract

In the 1950s, the Mayak nuclear weapons facility in Russia discharged liquid radioactive wastes into the Techa River causing exposure of riverside residents to protracted low-to-moderate doses of radiation. Almost 10,000 women received estimated doses to the stomach of up to 0.47 Gray (Gy) (mean dose=0.04 Gy) from external gamma-exposure and (137)Cs incorporation. We have been following this population for cancer incidence and mortality and as in the general Russian population, we found a significant temporal trend of breast cancer incidence. A significant linear radiation dose-response relationship was observed (P=0.01) with an estimated excess relative risk per Gray (ERR/Gy) of 5.00 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.80, 12.76). We estimated that approximately 12% of the 109 observed cases could be attributed to radiation.

摘要

20世纪50年代,俄罗斯的玛雅克核武器工厂向捷恰河排放液态放射性废物,导致河边居民长期暴露于低至中等剂量的辐射中。近10000名女性因外部伽马辐射和铯-137摄入,胃部估计接受了高达0.47戈瑞(Gy)的剂量(平均剂量=0.04 Gy)。我们一直在跟踪这一人群的癌症发病率和死亡率,与俄罗斯普通人群一样,我们发现乳腺癌发病率存在显著的时间趋势。观察到显著的线性辐射剂量-反应关系(P=0.01),每戈瑞的估计超额相对危险度(ERR/Gy)为5.00(95%置信区间(CI),0.80,12.76)。我们估计,在观察到的109例病例中,约12%可归因于辐射。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/97d7/2600704/f84358215b41/6604775f1.jpg

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