Qirjako Gentiana, Burazeri Genc, Hysa Bajram, Roshi Enver
Faculty of Medicine, Rr. Dibres No. 371, Tirana, Albania.
Croat Med J. 2008 Dec;49(6):734-40. doi: 10.3325/cmj.2008.49.734.
To assess the prevalence of fatal road traffic accidents in Tirana, Albania, and describe their determinants.
This cross-sectional study included all road traffic accidents recorded by the Traffic Police Department of Tirana district for the period 2000-2005. A structured questionnaire included information about the type of traffic accident (fatal vs non-fatal event), year of event, age and sex of the responsible party, reason of accident, location and time of event, and the type of vehicle involved. Multivariable-adjusted binary logistic regression analysis was used to assess the predictors of fatal road traffic accidents.
Overall, there were 1578 recorded road traffic accidents in Tirana district during 2000-2005. Of these, 272 (17%) were fatal. Multivariable-adjusted models showed that younger age (OR, 3.97; 95% CI, 2.28-6.91), high speed (OR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.62-3.98), and especially alcohol consumption (OR, 6.15; 95% CI, 3.54-10.66) were strong and significant predictors of fatal accidents. Fatal accidents were more prevalent on intercity roads (OR, 4.25; 95% CI, 3.11-5.82) and involved especially vans and trucks (OR, 4.12; 95% CI, 2.34-7.24).
Young age, high speed, and alcohol are predictors of fatal road traffic accidents in Tirana district. These findings can serve as a basis for health care professionals and policymakers to create preventive measures for traffic accidents.
评估阿尔巴尼亚地拉那市致命道路交通事故的发生率,并描述其决定因素。
这项横断面研究纳入了地拉那地区交通警察局在2000年至2005年期间记录的所有道路交通事故。一份结构化问卷包含了有关交通事故类型(致命与非致命事件)、事件年份、责任方的年龄和性别、事故原因、事件发生地点和时间以及所涉车辆类型的信息。采用多变量调整二元逻辑回归分析来评估致命道路交通事故的预测因素。
总体而言,2000年至2005年期间地拉那地区共记录了1578起道路交通事故。其中,272起(17%)为致命事故。多变量调整模型显示,年龄较小(比值比[OR],3.97;95%置信区间[CI],2.28 - 6.91)、高速行驶(OR,2.54;95% CI,1.62 - 3.98),尤其是饮酒(OR,6.15;95% CI,3.54 - 10.66)是致命事故的强有力且显著的预测因素。致命事故在城市间道路上更为普遍(OR,4.25;95% CI,3.11 - 5.82),尤其涉及厢式货车和卡车(OR,4.12;95% CI,2.34 - 7.24)。
年龄较小、高速行驶和饮酒是地拉那地区致命道路交通事故的预测因素。这些发现可为医疗保健专业人员和政策制定者制定交通事故预防措施提供依据。