Cuttler Jerry M, Pollycove Myron
Cuttler & Associates Inc., 1781 Medallion Court, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada.
Dose Response. 2009;7(1):52-89. doi: 10.2203/dose-response.08-024.Cuttler. Epub 2008 Nov 10.
Energy needs worldwide are expected to increase for the foreseeable future, but fuel supplies are limited. Nuclear reactors could supply much of the energy demand in a safe, sustainable manner were it not for fear of potential releases of radioactivity. Such releases would likely deliver a low dose or dose rate of radiation, within the range of naturally occurring radiation, to which life is already accustomed. The key areas of concern are discussed. Studies of actual health effects, especially thyroid cancers, following exposures are assessed. Radiation hormesis is explained, pointing out that beneficial effects are expected following a low dose or dose rate because protective responses against stresses are stimulated. The notions that no amount of radiation is small enough to be harmless and that a nuclear accident could kill hundreds of thousands are challenged in light of experience: more than a century with radiation and six decades with reactors. If nuclear energy is to play a significant role in meeting future needs, regulatory authorities must examine the scientific evidence and communicate the real health effects of nuclear radiation. Negative images and implications of health risks derived by unscientific extrapolations of harmful effects of high doses must be dispelled.
在可预见的未来,全球能源需求预计将会增加,但燃料供应有限。若不是担心放射性物质的潜在释放,核反应堆本可以安全、可持续地满足大部分能源需求。这种释放可能会带来低剂量或低剂量率的辐射,处于自然存在的辐射范围内,而生命已经适应了这种辐射。文中讨论了关键的关注领域。评估了接触辐射后实际健康影响的研究,特别是甲状腺癌。对辐射兴奋效应进行了解释,指出低剂量或低剂量率辐射后会产生有益影响,因为会刺激对压力的保护反应。鉴于一个多世纪的辐射经历和六十年的反应堆使用经验,那种认为任何剂量的辐射都不够小到无害以及核事故可能导致数十万人死亡的观念受到了挑战。如果核能要在满足未来需求方面发挥重要作用,监管机构必须审视科学证据,并传达核辐射对健康的实际影响。必须消除因对高剂量有害影响进行不科学外推而产生的负面形象和健康风险暗示。