Barnes Jo, Morris Andrew
Vehicle Safety Research Centre, Ergonomics and Safety Research Institute, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK.
Ann Adv Automot Med. 2009 Oct;53:195-205.
The ability to predict impairment outcomes in large databases using a simplified technique allows researchers to focus attention on preventing costly impairing injuries. The dilemma that exists for researchers is to determine which method is the most reliable and valid. This study examines available methods to predict impairment and explores the differences between the IIS and pFCI applied to real world crash injury data. Occupant injury data from the UK Co-operative Crash Injury Study (CCIS) database have been coded using AIS 1990 and AIS 2005. The data have subsequently been recoded using the associated impairment scales namely the Injury Impairment Scale (IIS) and the predicted Functional Capacity Index (pFCI) to determine the predicted impairment levels of injuries at one year post crash. Comparisons between the levels of impairment were made and any differences further explored. Injury data for the period February 2006 to September 2008 from the CCIS database were used in the analysis which involved a dataset of 2,437 occcupants who sustained over 8000 injuries. This study found some differences between the impairment scales for injuries coded to the AIS 1990 and AIS 2005 coding dictionaries. The pFCI predicts 31.5% of injuries to be impairing in AIS 2005, less than the IIS (38.5%) using AIS 1990. Using CCIS data the pFCI predicted that only 6% of the occupants with a coded injury would have an impairing injury compared to 24% of occupants using the IIS. The main body regions identified as having the major differences between the two impairment scales for car occupants were the head and spine. Follow up data were then used for a small number of cases (n=31, lower extremity and whiplash injuries) to examine any differences in predicted impairment versus perceived impairment. These data were selected from a previous study conducted between 2003 and 2006 and identified the discrepancy between predicted impairment and actual perceived impairment as defined by the participant. Overall the work highlights the variation between the pFCI and IIS and emphasises the importance and need for a single validated impairment scale that can be universally applied. This would allow emphasis to be directed towards preventing injuries that are associated with the most significant impairment outcomes.
使用简化技术在大型数据库中预测损伤结果的能力,使研究人员能够将注意力集中在预防代价高昂的致残性伤害上。研究人员面临的困境是确定哪种方法最可靠、最有效。本研究考察了现有的预测损伤的方法,并探讨了应用于实际碰撞伤害数据的损伤严重度评分(IIS)和预测功能能力指数(pFCI)之间的差异。来自英国合作碰撞伤害研究(CCIS)数据库的乘员伤害数据已使用1990年简明损伤定级标准(AIS)和2005年AIS进行编码。随后,这些数据使用相关的损伤量表,即损伤严重度评分(IIS)和预测功能能力指数(pFCI)进行重新编码,以确定碰撞后一年损伤的预测严重程度。对损伤严重程度水平进行了比较,并进一步探讨了任何差异。分析中使用了CCIS数据库2006年2月至2008年9月期间的伤害数据,该数据集涉及2437名乘员,他们遭受了8000多处损伤。本研究发现,根据1990年AIS和2005年AIS编码词典编码的损伤,其损伤量表之间存在一些差异。在2005年AIS中,pFCI预测31.5%的损伤会导致残疾,低于使用1990年AIS的IIS(38.5%)。使用CCIS数据,pFCI预测只有6%的有编码损伤的乘员会有致残性损伤,而使用IIS的这一比例为24%。对于汽车乘员,被确定为两种损伤量表之间存在主要差异的主要身体部位是头部和脊柱。然后,对少数病例(n = 31,下肢和挥鞭伤)使用随访数据,以检查预测损伤与感知损伤之间的任何差异。这些数据选自2003年至2006年进行的一项先前研究,并确定了预测损伤与参与者定义的实际感知损伤之间的差异。总体而言,这项工作突出了pFCI和IIS之间的差异,并强调了一个能够普遍应用的单一有效损伤量表的重要性和必要性。这将使重点能够转向预防与最严重损伤结果相关的伤害。